Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2361.44 ETHFI at 0.502$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5085 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4983 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2361.44 ETHFI at 0.502$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5085 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4983 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.5017$
Qty 2361.4424 ETHFI
Size 1184.7356$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5085 (+1.36%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.4983 (-0.68%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9796
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.224772 15m : 0.108878 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7718 | r1h: 0.059% · r4h: 0.221% · r1d: 6.56% · r3d: 14.88% · ema21_slope: 0.3429% · dist_ema21: 1.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6814 | rs_1h: -0.424% · rs_4h: -0.245% · rs_1d: 6.34% · rs_3d: 15.47% · beta_24h: 1.541 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.688 · trend: -15.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9019 | ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.536% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.814% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.988% | 4.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -1.644% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -1.644% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.97 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.20% | +0.95 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | +0.01% | +0.56 | 16/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.31% | +0.11 | 16/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.183×ATR | p72 | +2.574×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 32b | — | 9.333×ATR | p100 | +2.694×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 1.851×ATR | p18 | +1.143×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 2.676×ATR | p59 | +1.312×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63025.6
0.00365481
63256
0.224772
63031.8
0.00353993
63255
0.108878
63139.6
0.0014619
63232
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0.6045
0.7926
0.6267
0.6465
0.8661
0.098
0.1324
1
0.4559
2.7003
0.75
0.25
1
10
1
0.5349
0.4754
5.9349
0.6
4.8112
7.6
2.7003
0
0.2495
0.44
0.244
0.5269
0.5648
0.796
0.8661
-2.7043
17.4882
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:10:00 | 0.50183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 21:25:00 | 0.50733 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:45:00 | 0.50101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:40:00 | 0.50081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.50527 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:30:00 | 0.50389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 01:05:00 | 0.50997 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 01:40:00 | 0.50428 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:15:00 | 0.51052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.50144 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 0.48369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 08:15:00 | 0.47452 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.48535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.47931 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 0.4984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 0.52339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:30:00 | 0.5058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 0.50081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:15:00 | 0.51052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.50144 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 13:00:00 | 0.42373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.4457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.48888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.46912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.48181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 05:00:00 | 0.4709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.52339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.50081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 0.51052 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5017 | 0.4983 | 0.5085 | 2 | 0.6556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4983 - 0.5017 = -0.0034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5017 - 0.5085 = -0.0067999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0067999999999999 / -0.0034 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1184.7356 | 100 | 2361.4424 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0034 = -2352.94
Taille de position USD = -2352.94 x 0.5017 = -1180.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.4983
Avec un position size USD de -1180.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0034 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0067999999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 1.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5017 | 0.4983 | 0.5085 | 2 | 0.6556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4983 - 0.5017 = -0.0034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5017 - 0.5085 = -0.0067999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0067999999999999 / -0.0034 = 2
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.814% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.988% | 4.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -1.644% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.988% | 4.4R | -1.644% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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