Long Trade on CHIP

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16 Aug 2026 at 23:00:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 5252.79 CHIP at 0.0289$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03002 (3.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02743 (5.25 %)

CHIP LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 23:00 → 02:25 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.02895$

Qty 5252.7905 CHIP

Size 152.0735$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03002 (+3.7%)

TP $ 5.62$

SL 0.02743 (-5.25%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.7

Status win PnL +3.70% / +5.62$ MAE -1.55% MFE +13.52% 2.6R expires 17 Aug 11:00

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71796)

#33 / 39 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6288

Quality Score

0.529

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 22:47

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#33 / 39 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#33 / 39 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.05×ATR
4h	near	0.46×ATR
1d	clear	2.93×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 22:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

16/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

16/08 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1582

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	-1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 16/08 23:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 16/08/2026 22:00

Score brut

0.5294

Score SMA

0.6870

Rank

#33 / 39

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6288

Rank Norm SMA

0.8581

Calculé le

16/08/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6479	r1h: 0.538% · r4h: -3.624% · r1d: -1.36% · r3d: 21.28% · ema21_slope: 0.1761% · dist_ema21: -0.763%
Force Relative	25%	0.5223	rs_1h: 0.054% · rs_4h: -4.090% · rs_1d: -1.58% · rs_3d: 21.88% · beta_24h: -2.042
Volume	20%	0.2358	rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.213 · trend: -28.06%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5876	ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 60.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6919	ATR%: 3.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.250% (0.0015)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.603%	0.3R	-1.496%	0.3R	1.1×	12
2h	+1.603%	0.3R	-1.554%	0.3R	1.0×	24
4h	+11.510%	2.2R	-1.554%	0.3R	7.4×	48
8h	+13.520%	2.6R	-1.554%	0.3R	8.7×	96
12h ★	+13.520%	2.6R	-1.554%	0.3R	8.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50

ML Pullback Score: 3.86

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-5.25%	+0.84	16/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	near 0.5ATR	0.32	bear_medium	-1.20%	+0.98	16/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.15	range_low	+0.01%	+0.32	16/08 22:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	normal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	-0.07	range_low	+0.34%	-0.17	16/08 22:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	8b	—	2.893×ATR	p20	+1.041×ATR	p44
4h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	0.987×ATR	p0	+1.073×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	early	11b	—	2.24×ATR	p26	+0.191×ATR	p14
15m	↓ down	early	5b	—	0×ATR	p0	+1×ATR	p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.027428
tp_price: 0.03002032
atr: 0.00042773
expires_at: 2026-08-17T15:00:11+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 40
score: 0.6479
avg_rank_8h: 2.5
rank_velocity: 1.5
pullback_depth_atr: 5.16
trigger_price: 0.028702
fip_24h: -0.167
confidence: 0.923

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	23:00	0.02895100	+0.003%
2	23:15	0.02915100	+0.694%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.02895	0.02743	0.03002	0.7	0.04878

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.02895
Stop Loss: 0.02743
Take Profit: 0.03002

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02895 = -0.00152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.02895 - 0.03002 = -0.00107
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00107 / -0.00152 = 0.7039

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
152.0735	100	5252.7905	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00152

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00152 = -5263.16

Taille de position USD = -5263.16 x 0.02895 = -152.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -5263.16 avec un stoploss a 0.02743

Avec un position size USD de -152.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5263.16 x -0.00152 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5263.16 x -0.00107 = 5.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.63$

Résumé

Taille de position -5263.16
Taille de position USD -152.37
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.63
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7039

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.7 %	5.62 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.25 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
5.62 $	3.70

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.5544 %	29.61 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.02895	0.02743	0.03002	0.7	0.04878

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.02895
Stop Loss: 0.02743
Take Profit: 0.03002

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02895 = -0.00152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.02895 - 0.03002 = -0.00107
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00107 / -0.00152 = 0.7039

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03199
            [stop_loss] => 0.02743
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 06:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03275
            [stop_loss] => 0.02743
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.250% (0.0015)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.603%	0.3R	-1.496%	0.3R	1.1×	12
2h	+1.603%	0.3R	-1.554%	0.3R	1.0×	24
4h	+11.510%	2.2R	-1.554%	0.3R	7.4×	48
8h	+13.520%	2.6R	-1.554%	0.3R	8.7×	96
12h ★	+13.520%	2.6R	-1.554%	0.3R	8.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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