Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 866.46 LIT at 2.337$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3552 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3275 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 866.46 LIT at 2.337$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3552 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3275 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 2.3367$
Qty 866.4591 LIT
Size 2024.6551$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3552 (+0.79%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 2.3275 (-0.39%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8074
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.187696 15m : 0.272785 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5489 | r1h: -0.030% · r4h: -0.738% · r1d: 2.18% · r3d: 5.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0733% · dist_ema21: 0.947% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5564 | rs_1h: 0.093% · rs_4h: -0.398% · rs_1d: 1.69% · rs_3d: 4.76% · beta_24h: 3.109 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2887 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: 0.028 · trend: -6.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7530 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.716% | 4.4R | -0.090% | 0.2R | 19.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.090% | 0.2R | 21.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.317% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.920% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.920% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.34 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near 0.0ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.62% | +0.51 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | +0.02% | +0.09 | 17/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.04 | 17/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.524×ATR | p0 | +0.733×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 2.815×ATR | p31 | +0.987×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.402×ATR | p4 | +0.842×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.505×ATR | p6 | +0.011×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63354.2
-0.000919373
63296
0.187696
63202.8
0.00106182
63270
0.272785
63230.6
0.00114397
63303
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2.3867
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0.5849
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4.6238
0.55
1.2933
5.2576
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0.76
0.1222
0.4855
0.5437
0.4549
0.5917
-4.0503
5.8688
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:23 | 2.33670000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:35 | 2.33540000 | -0.056% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 2.3804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:35:00 | 2.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 2.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:25:00 | 2.3425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:45:00 | 2.3687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:35:00 | 2.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:10:00 | 2.3577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 2.3453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:05:00 | 2.3598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 2.3367 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 2.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 2.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 2.3139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 2.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:15:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 2.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 2.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 2.3598 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 2.4162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 2.2065 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 2.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 2.2625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 2.3149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 2.2772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 2.3238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3367 | 2.3275 | 2.3552 | 2.01 | 3.3528 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3275 - 2.3367 = -0.0091999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3367 - 2.3552 = -0.0185
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0185 / -0.0091999999999999 = 2.0109
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.6551 | 100 | 866.4591 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0091999999999999 = -869.57
Taille de position USD = -869.57 x 2.3367 = -2031.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -869.57 avec un stoploss a 2.3275
Avec un position size USD de -2031.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0091999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0185 = 16.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.09$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0899 % | 22.83 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3367 | 2.3275 | 2.3552 | 2.01 | 3.3528 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3275 - 2.3367 = -0.0091999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3367 - 2.3552 = -0.0185
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0185 / -0.0091999999999999 = 2.0109
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.716% | 4.4R | -0.090% | 0.2R | 19.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.090% | 0.2R | 21.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.317% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.920% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.939% | 4.9R | -0.920% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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