Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3761.86 CHIP at 0.027$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02629 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02909 (7.9 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 16:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02696$
Qty 3761.8557 CHIP
Size 101.4347$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02629 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.52$
SL 0.02909 (-7.9%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.31
Status
win
PnL
+1.15%
/ +1.17$
MAE -2.84%
MFE +2.11%
0.3R
expires
18 Aug 16:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 73744)
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3961
Quality Score
0.396
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:03
18/08 10:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 73744)
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
score du 18/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3961
Quality Score
0.396
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.71×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 10:03
18/08 10:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 18/08 09:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1617
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.83
Transition risk :
0.17
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.90
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4275
Score SMA
—
Rank
#22
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4820 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.15% · r3d: 0.20% · ema21_slope: -0.3089% · dist_ema21: 7.113% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 0.258 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1866 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.723 · trend: -23.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6733 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3956
Score SMA
0.5732
Rank
#46
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3961
Rank Norm SMA
0.6254
Calculé le
18/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3347 | r1h: -2.179% · r4h: -5.195% · r1d: -10.22% · r3d: 10.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1201% · dist_ema21: -4.075% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2531 | rs_1h: -2.110% · rs_4h: -5.198% · rs_1d: -11.02% · rs_3d: 8.92% · beta_24h: -1.966 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3777 | rvol_20: 1.77× · zscore_50: -0.377 · trend: -57.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4525 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8849 | ATR%: 3.345% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5200
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#17
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7270
Rank Norm SMA
0.7281
Calculé le
18/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7082 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.340% · r1d: -8.48% · r3d: 20.22% · ema21_slope: 0.9087% · dist_ema21: 2.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6136 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.319% · rs_1d: -8.71% · rs_3d: 18.26% · beta_24h: -2.111 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1786 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.543 · trend: -38.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7896 | ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.901%
(0.0021)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.780% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.114% | 0.3R | -0.505% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.114% | 0.3R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.114% | 0.3R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.776% | 0.5R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.776% | 0.5R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.99
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.14% | +0.86 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.28 | range_medium | +0.50% | +0.79 | 18/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.10 | bull_low | +0.79% | -0.52 | 18/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.51 | 18/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.592×ATR | p0 | +0.888×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.878×ATR | p26 | +0.006×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.627×ATR | p38 | -1.344×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.82×ATR | p87 | -2.653×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02909061
- tp_price: 0.0262899
- atr: 0.00085064
- expires_at: 2026-08-18T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 49
- score: 0.3347
- delta_2h: -0.0954
- extension_atr: -1.38
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3961
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 0.02696400 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 11:10 | 0.02670000 | -0.964% |
| 3 | 12:10 | 0.02685000 | -0.408% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02696 | 0.02909 | 0.02629 | 0.31 | 0.04462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02696
- Stop Loss: 0.02909
- Take Profit: 0.02629
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02909 - 0.02696 = 0.00213
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02696 - 0.02629 = 0.00067
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00067 / 0.00213 = 0.3146
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101.4347 | 100 | 3761.8557 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00213
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00213 = 3755.87
Taille de position USD = 3755.87 x 0.02696 = 101.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 3755.87 avec un stoploss a 0.02909
Avec un position size USD de 101.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3755.87 x 0.00213 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3755.87 x 0.00067 = 2.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.52$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3755.87
- Taille de position USD 101.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.52
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3146
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.52 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.9 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.17 $ | 1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8412 % | 35.96 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02696 | 0.02909 | 0.02629 | 0.31 | 0.04462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02696
- Stop Loss: 0.02909
- Take Profit: 0.02629
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02909 - 0.02696 = 0.00213
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02696 - 0.02629 = 0.00067
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00067 / 0.00213 = 0.3146
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.901%
(0.0021)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.780% | 0.2R | -0.505% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.114% | 0.3R | -0.505% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.114% | 0.3R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.114% | 0.3R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.776% | 0.5R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.776% | 0.5R | -2.841% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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