Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 35243.84 ARB at 0.0751$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07553 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07485 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 35243.84 ARB at 0.0751$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07553 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07485 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 0.07508$
Qty 35243.8433 ARB
Size 2646.1078$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07553 (+0.6%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 0.07485 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6618
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6618
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 19.49×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 18/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 18/08 12:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.539939 15m : 0.595766 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2528 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: 3.04% · ema21_slope: -0.4557% · dist_ema21: -3.564% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3929 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.09% · rs_3d: 0.93% · beta_24h: 0.671 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1513 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.731 · trend: -59.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4854 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5006 | ATR%: 4.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5369 | r1h: 0.519% · r4h: 0.265% · r1d: 0.40% · r3d: 1.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0325% · dist_ema21: 0.654% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4914 | rs_1h: 0.355% · rs_4h: -0.459% · rs_1d: -0.58% · rs_3d: -0.79% · beta_24h: 1.172 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3236 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.135 · trend: 5.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6096 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4731 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.159% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 2.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0273% · dist_ema21: 0.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4491 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.114% · rs_1d: -0.76% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0978 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.859 · trend: -33.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4725 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.496% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.213% | 0.7R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.426% | 1.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.719% | 2.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.719% | 2.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.999% | 3.3R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.49 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_medium | +1.45% | -0.10 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.46 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | -0.05 | 18/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.75% | -0.09 | 18/08 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.426×ATR | p89 | -0.764×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.967×ATR | p33 | +0.47×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.267×ATR | p0 | +0.27×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.611×ATR | p46 | -0.47×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64411.7
0.00439718
64695
0.539939
64289.1
0.00646786
64705
0.595766
63561.8
0.0179848
64705
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0.07598
191
0.6588
0.5387
0.3442
0.2525
0.4192
1
0.1995
0.5787
0.5737
0.6607
0.5764
0.8083
0.0422
0.0336
1
0.2565
0.6998
0.35
0.65
1
8
1
0.4949
0.4559
3.9635
0.5
1.0705
4.243
0.6998
0.1678
0.2844
0.7
0.0611
0.5109
0.4517
0.6068
0.8083
-1.2662
5.3387
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:24 | 0.07508000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:36 | 0.07496000 | -0.16% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 12:20:00 | 0.0754 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:10:00 | 0.07508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 0.07548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:15:00 | 0.07487 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:50:00 | 0.0751 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:25:00 | 0.07567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:35:00 | 0.07567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:50:00 | 0.07567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:20:00 | 0.07508 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.07468 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:30:00 | 0.07582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 0.07473 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:30:00 | 0.07533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:45:00 | 0.07355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:15:00 | 0.07522 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.07457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:45:00 | 0.07598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:15:00 | 0.07487 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.07539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.07212 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.07503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.07272 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.07566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.07436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.07582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.07355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.07598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07508 | 0.07485 | 0.07553 | 1.96 | 0.1666 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07485 - 0.07508 = -0.00022999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07508 - 0.07553 = -0.00045000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00045000000000001 / -0.00022999999999999 = 1.9565
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2646.1078 | 100 | 35243.8433 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00022999999999999 = -34782.61
Taille de position USD = -34782.61 x 0.07508 = -2611.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -34782.61 avec un stoploss a 0.07485
Avec un position size USD de -2611.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.00022999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.00045000000000001 = 15.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.65$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.11 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3863 % | 126.12 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07508 | 0.07485 | 0.07553 | 1.96 | 0.1666 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07485 - 0.07508 = -0.00022999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07508 - 0.07553 = -0.00045000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00045000000000001 / -0.00022999999999999 = 1.9565
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.213% | 0.7R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.426% | 1.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.719% | 2.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.719% | 2.4R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.999% | 3.3R | -0.386% | 1.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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