18 Aug 2026 at 19:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 61967.47 PUMP at 0.00301$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00309 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002886 (4.28 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 19:10 → 19:40 · 29 minutes

Position

Entry 0.003015$

Qty 61967.4671 PUMP

Size 186.8319$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.00309 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.65$

SL 0.002886 (-4.28%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.65$ MAE -0.50% MFE +3.98% 0.9R expires 19 Aug 01:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74261)
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5206

Quality Score
0.855
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.99×ATR
1d near -0.71×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
37.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

17/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

18/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

18/08 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1626
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

—

expansion

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.83
Transition risk : 0.17
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.65
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 19:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 17/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5473
Score SMA
—
Rank
#8 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
17/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8040 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.91% · r3d: 0.58% · ema21_slope: 1.9952% · dist_ema21: 10.724%
Force Relative 25% 0.6275 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.08% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 0.253
Volume 20% 0.1584 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.584 · trend: -2.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7833 ADX: 45.6 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.310% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.8551
Score SMA
0.5262
Rank
#1 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5206
Rank Norm SMA
0.5138
Calculé le
18/08/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7987 r1h: 1.413% · r4h: 6.915% · r1d: 10.24% · r3d: 9.64% · ema21_slope: 0.1301% · dist_ema21: 6.003%
Force Relative 25% 0.8631 rs_1h: 1.359% · rs_4h: 7.111% · rs_1d: 9.68% · rs_3d: 7.26% · beta_24h: 1.478
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.77× · zscore_50: 3.551 · trend: 139.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6645 ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 31.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5393
Score SMA
0.4838
Rank
#10 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7021
Rank Norm SMA
0.5518
Calculé le
18/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6905 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.86% · r3d: 3.52% · ema21_slope: 0.1343% · dist_ema21: 1.371%
Force Relative 25% 0.5760 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.074% · rs_1d: 3.74% · rs_3d: 1.12% · beta_24h: 1.465
Volume 20% 0.1005 rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.690 · trend: -40.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5016 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9283 ATR%: 3.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.279% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 12
2h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 24
4h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 48
6h ★ +3.980% 0.9R -0.498% 0.1R 8.0× 72
8h +3.980% 0.9R -2.720% 0.6R 1.5× 96
12h +3.980% 0.9R -2.720% 0.6R 1.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.96
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.7ATR 0.57 bear_high -2.51% +1.00 17/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -2.0ATR 0.29 bull_medium +1.06% +0.31 18/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.23 bull_low +1.24% +0.69 18/08 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 54% late — — 0.29 range_low +0.36% +0.62 18/08 18:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 35b — 6.96×ATR p89 +1.438×ATR p81
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.386×ATR p27 +1.304×ATR p73
1h ↑ up late 5b — 4.605×ATR p93 +3.513×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 22b — 8.068×ATR p90 +3.405×ATR p92

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0028859
  2. tp_price: 0.00309037
  3. atr: 5.164E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T05:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.7987
  4. delta_2h: 0.2675
  5. extension_atr: 2.97
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5206
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003015 0.002886 0.00309 0.58 0.004527
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003015
  • Stop Loss: 0.002886
  • Take Profit: 0.00309

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002886 - 0.003015 = -0.000129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003015 - 0.00309 = -7.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.5E-5 / -0.000129 = 0.5814

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
186.8319 100 61967.4671 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000129

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000129 = -62015.5

Taille de position USD = -62015.5 x 0.003015 = -186.98

Donc, tu peux acheter -62015.5 avec un stoploss a 0.002886

Avec un position size USD de -186.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -62015.5 x -0.000129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -62015.5 x -7.5E-5 = 4.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -62015.5
  • Taille de position USD -186.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5814

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.65 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.28 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
4.65 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3317 % 7.75 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003015 0.002886 0.00309 0.58 0.004527
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003015
  • Stop Loss: 0.002886
  • Take Profit: 0.00309

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002886 - 0.003015 = -0.000129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003015 - 0.00309 = -7.5E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.5E-5 / -0.000129 = 0.5814

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.279% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 12
2h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 24
4h +3.980% 0.9R -0.332% 0.1R 12.0× 48
6h ★ +3.980% 0.9R -0.498% 0.1R 8.0× 72
8h +3.980% 0.9R -2.720% 0.6R 1.5× 96
12h +3.980% 0.9R -2.720% 0.6R 1.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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