Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64522$ per unit. Take profit: 64657.0568 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64454.4716 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64522$ per unit. Take profit: 64657.0568 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64454.4716 (0.1 %)
Position
Entry 64522$
Qty 0.1185 BTC
Size 7643.8358$ (margin 100$) (leverage 76)
Risk Setup
TP 64657.0568 (+0.21%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64454.4716 (-0.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8796
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 18/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5035 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.19% · r3d: 2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0427% · dist_ema21: 0.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0676 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.112 · trend: -43.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3400 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 70.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.810% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5434 | r1h: 0.209% · r4h: 0.184% · r1d: 0.38% · r3d: 2.67% · ema21_slope: 0.0442% · dist_ema21: 0.436% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2416 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.365 · trend: -33.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8296 | ADX: 43.9 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.308% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5406 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: 2.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1075% · dist_ema21: 0.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1685 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -1.078 · trend: -19.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7085 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 30.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.243% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.318% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.439% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.620% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.608% | 5.8R | -0.620% | 5.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 2.006×ATR | p0 | +0.611×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.942×ATR | p79 | +1.498×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.515×ATR | p39 | +0.261×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.61×ATR | p25 | -0.825×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 62678
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[1] => 64016
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[1] => 65018
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62905656895014
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1565697277857
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79059961555156
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 11:45:00
[1] => 64376
[2] => H
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[1] => 64016
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[1] => 65018
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 64861
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[5] => Array
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[1] => 64617
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 20:45:00
[1] => 64530
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 22:15:00
[1] => 64529
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 23:45:00
[1] => 64760
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22699197035207
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.16277050908414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.39064922180195
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[1] => Array
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[1] => 64795
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 19:25:00
[1] => 64772
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 20:05:00
[1] => 64567
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[1] => 64530
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[1] => 64626
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[1] => 64538
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[1] => 64529
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[1] => 64760
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
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65018
189
0.7147
0.7762
0.3054
0.2499
0.3508
1
0.2837
0.5757
0.6637
0.1507
0.7699
0.8361
0.0909
0.1144
1
0.6947
2.5929
0.55
0.45
1
10
1
0.5003
0.9373
4.0489
0.55
2.7833
4.9403
2.5929
0
0.2274
0.08
-0.146
0.453
0.5081
0.8407
0.8361
-2.2276
11.3612
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:42 | 64522.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:54 | 64500.00000000 | -0.034% |
| 3 | 21:00 | 64453.00000000 | -0.107% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:35:00 | 64795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:25:00 | 64772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 64567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 21:10:00 | 64626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:40:00 | 64538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:25:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:15:00 | 64508 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:45:00 | 64376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:45:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:15:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:15:00 | 64508 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 64508 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64522 | 64454.4716 | 64657.0568 | 2 | 80599 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64454.4716 - 64522 = -67.528400000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64522 - 64657.0568 = -135.0568
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -135.0568 / -67.528400000003 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7643.8358 | 100 | 0.1185 | 76.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -67.528400000003 = -0.12
Taille de position USD = -0.12 x 64522 = -7742.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.12 avec un stoploss a 64454.4716
Avec un position size USD de -7742.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.12 x -67.528400000003 = 8.1
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.1$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.12 x -135.0568 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.124 % | 118.43 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64522 | 64454.4716 | 64657.0568 | 2 | 80599 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64454.4716 - 64522 = -67.528400000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64522 - 64657.0568 = -135.0568
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -135.0568 / -67.528400000003 = 2
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(
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Array
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[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 00:55:00+00
[result] => loss
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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[take_profit] => 64657.0568
[entry_price] => 64522
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[rr_ratio] => 1.33
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 01:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.243% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.318% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.439% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.042% | 0.4R | -0.620% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.608% | 5.8R | -0.620% | 5.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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