Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64400$ per unit. Take profit: 64534.4352 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64332.7824 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64400$ per unit. Take profit: 64534.4352 (0.21 %) & Stop Loss: 64332.7824 (0.1 %)
Position
Entry 64400$
Qty 0.119 BTC
Size 7664.6592$ (margin 100$) (leverage 77)
Risk Setup
TP 64534.4352 (+0.21%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64332.7824 (-0.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8668
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 18/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5035 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.19% · r3d: 2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0427% · dist_ema21: 0.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0676 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -2.112 · trend: -43.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3400 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 70.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.810% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5212 | r1h: -0.254% · r4h: -0.019% · r1d: 0.29% · r3d: 2.33% · ema21_slope: 0.0438% · dist_ema21: 0.108% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3490 | rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: -0.017 · trend: -11.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8250 | ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 42.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.310% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5406 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: 2.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1075% · dist_ema21: 0.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1685 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -1.078 · trend: -19.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7085 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 30.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.121% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.242% | 2.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.250% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.432% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.857% | 8.2R | -0.432% | 4.1R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 18/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18/08 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 2.006×ATR | p0 | +0.611×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.985×ATR | p82 | +1.276×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.433×ATR | p33 | +0.323×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.988×ATR | p62 | -1.952×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 62678
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[1] => 64418
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93820172875204
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.01397537228839
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.96119504961257
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-18 11:45:00
[1] => 64376
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64016
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[1] => 65018
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[1] => 64861
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[1] => 64617
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[1] => 64530
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[1] => 64529
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[1] => 64760
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[9] => Array
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55589870290303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015528191431544
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56056771067874
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[1] => Array
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64772
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[3] => Array
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
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65018
188
0.6262
0.7587
0.3164
0.2793
0.3467
1
0.1885
0.5689
0.6637
0.1119
0.7701
0.7555
0.0565
0.103
0.6667
-0.3051
1.5518
0.55
0.45
1
11
1
0.4413
0.9373
4.0489
0.5
2.7833
4.9403
1.5518
0
0.211
0.02
-0.1502
0.501
0.459
0.7904
0.7555
-3.504
10.828
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:06 | 64400.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:42 | 64413.00000000 | +0.02% |
| 3 | 21:48 | 64369.00000000 | -0.048% |
| 4 | 22:00 | 64358.00000000 | -0.065% |
| 5 | 22:06 | 64339.00000000 | -0.095% |
| 6 | 22:18 | 64333.00000000 | -0.104% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 18:35:00 | 64795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 19:25:00 | 64772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:05:00 | 64567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:50:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 21:10:00 | 64626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:40:00 | 64538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:25:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 64399 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 10:15:00 | 64083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 11:45:00 | 64376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:30:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:30:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 64861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 18:00:00 | 64617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 20:45:00 | 64530 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 22:15:00 | 64529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:45:00 | 64760 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 64399 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 64399 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64400 | 64332.7824 | 64534.4352 | 2 | 80826 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64332.7824 - 64400 = -67.217600000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64400 - 64534.4352 = -134.4352
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -134.4352 / -67.217600000004 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7664.6592 | 100 | 0.119 | 77.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -67.217600000004 = -0.12
Taille de position USD = -0.12 x 64400 = -7728
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.12 avec un stoploss a 64332.7824
Avec un position size USD de -7728$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.12 x -67.217600000004 = 8.07
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.07$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.12 x -134.4352 = 16.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1211 % | 116 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64400 | 64332.7824 | 64534.4352 | 2 | 80826 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64332.7824 - 64400 = -67.217600000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64400 - 64534.4352 = -134.4352
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -134.4352 / -67.217600000004 = 2
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 02:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[stop_loss] => 64312.61712
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 02:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[entry_price] => 64400
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 03:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.121% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.242% | 2.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.250% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.155% | 1.5R | -0.432% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.857% | 8.2R | -0.432% | 4.1R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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