18 Aug 2026 at 21:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 11.58 VVV at 14.058$ per unit. Take profit: 14.4095 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.3671 (4.91 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 21:10 → 03:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 14.058$

Qty 11.5798 VVV

Size 162.7891$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 14.4095 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.07$

SL 13.3671 (-4.91%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.51

Status loss PnL -1.41% / -2.29$ MAE -3.96% MFE +0.41% 0.1R expires 19 Aug 03:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74454)
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9759

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.27×ATR
4h clear 0.78×ATR
1d near -0.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

18/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

18/08 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1628
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

—

expansion

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.90
Transition risk : 0.10
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.69
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 21:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5738
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7761 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.36% · r3d: 18.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4006% · dist_ema21: 13.191%
Force Relative 25% 0.8288 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: 15.95% · beta_24h: 1.723
Volume 20% 0.1968 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -7.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6295 ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.318% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6737
Score SMA
0.5825
Rank
#2 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9759
Rank Norm SMA
0.6748
Calculé le
18/08/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7896 r1h: 0.263% · r4h: 3.002% · r1d: 6.49% · r3d: 18.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1859% · dist_ema21: 1.645%
Force Relative 25% 0.7869 rs_1h: 0.517% · rs_4h: 3.021% · rs_1d: 6.19% · rs_3d: 16.29% · beta_24h: -1.498
Volume 20% 0.1965 rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.566 · trend: -24.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6717 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.030% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7482
Score SMA
0.7326
Rank
#2 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9896
Rank Norm SMA
0.9931
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8279 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.427% · r1d: 7.39% · r3d: 17.67% · ema21_slope: 0.8080% · dist_ema21: 7.081%
Force Relative 25% 0.8199 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.283% · rs_1d: 6.68% · rs_3d: 15.29% · beta_24h: 2.072
Volume 20% 0.3442 rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: 87.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8657 ADX: 43.9 (trend) · Chop: 16.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9614 ATR%: 3.116% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.915% (0.6909)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.413% 0.1R -1.437% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.413% 0.1R -2.632% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h +0.413% 0.1R -3.962% 0.8R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.413% 0.1R -3.962% 0.8R 0.1× 72
8h +1.515% 0.3R -3.962% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.721% 0.4R -3.962% 0.8R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.3ATR 0.43 bear_high -2.62% +0.86 18/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.43 bull_medium +1.12% +0.87 18/08 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% early — near 0.3ATR 0.27 bull_low +1.08% +0.44 18/08 20:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near 0.3ATR — range_low +0.20% +0.09 18/08 20:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 10b — 3.304×ATR p41 +2.087×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 3b — 1.822×ATR p0 +1.798×ATR p89
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.698×ATR p15 +0.726×ATR p39
15m ↑ up mid 19b — 3.724×ATR p64 +0.843×ATR p33

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 13.36714303
  2. tp_price: 14.40945
  3. atr: 0.27634279
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T07:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.7896
  4. delta_2h: 0.0421
  5. extension_atr: 0.58
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9759
  9. confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
14.058 13.3671 14.4095 0.51 23.603
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 14.058
  • Stop Loss: 13.3671
  • Take Profit: 14.4095

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.3671 - 14.058 = -0.6909

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 14.058 - 14.4095 = -0.3515

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3515 / -0.6909 = 0.5088

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
162.7891 100 11.5798 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.6909

Taille de position = 8 / -0.6909 = -11.58

Taille de position USD = -11.58 x 14.058 = -162.79

Donc, tu peux acheter -11.58 avec un stoploss a 13.3671

Avec un position size USD de -162.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -11.58 x -0.6909 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -11.58 x -0.3515 = 4.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -11.58
  • Taille de position USD -162.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5088

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.29 $ -1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9622 % 80.62 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
14.058 13.3671 14.4095 0.51 23.603
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 14.058
  • Stop Loss: 13.3671
  • Take Profit: 14.4095

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.3671 - 14.058 = -0.6909

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 14.058 - 14.4095 = -0.3515

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3515 / -0.6909 = 0.5088

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.915% (0.6909)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.413% 0.1R -1.437% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.413% 0.1R -2.632% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h +0.413% 0.1R -3.962% 0.8R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.413% 0.1R -3.962% 0.8R 0.1× 72
8h +1.515% 0.3R -3.962% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.721% 0.4R -3.962% 0.8R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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