18 Aug 2026 at 21:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on POL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3892.49 POL at 0.0823$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0844 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08029 (2.49 %)

POL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 18 Aug 2026 21:10 → 03:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.08234$

Qty 3892.4894 POL

Size 320.5193$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0844 (+2.5%)

TP $ 8.02$

SL 0.08029 (-2.49%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 1

Status loss PnL -0.40% / -1.3$ MAE -0.87% MFE +0.41% 0.2R expires 19 Aug 03:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74448)
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9546

Quality Score
0.621
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.85×ATR
4h clear 1.07×ATR
1d near -0.46×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 21:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

18/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

18/08 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1628
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

—

expansion

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.90
Transition risk : 0.10
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.69
Snapshot évalué : 18/08 21:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5812
Score SMA
—
Rank
#6 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6839 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.18% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1645% · dist_ema21: 6.636%
Force Relative 25% 0.6167 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: 6.62% · beta_24h: 1.283
Volume 20% 0.1617 rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.811 · trend: 11.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6635 ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9003 ATR%: 3.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6214
Score SMA
0.5831
Rank
#3 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9546
Rank Norm SMA
0.6897
Calculé le
18/08/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6500 r1h: 0.367% · r4h: 0.645% · r1d: 1.94% · r3d: 9.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1665% · dist_ema21: 1.222%
Force Relative 25% 0.6190 rs_1h: 0.621% · rs_4h: 0.664% · rs_1d: 1.65% · rs_3d: 7.05% · beta_24h: 0.154
Volume 20% 0.2920 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.007 · trend: -23.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7549 ADX: 49.2 (trend) · Chop: 57.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6467
Score SMA
0.6274
Rank
#3 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9685
Rank Norm SMA
0.9370
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6985 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.170% · r1d: 3.18% · r3d: 9.33% · ema21_slope: 0.4088% · dist_ema21: 4.031%
Force Relative 25% 0.6347 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.026% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 6.95% · beta_24h: 1.203
Volume 20% 0.2681 rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.568 · trend: 29.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8327 ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 17.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.684% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.490% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.328% 0.1R -0.188% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +0.406% 0.2R -0.692% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.406% 0.2R -0.871% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.406% 0.2R -0.871% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +0.406% 0.2R -0.970% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +0.406% 0.2R -2.168% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 42% late — near -0.5ATR 0.60 bear_high -2.62% +0.87 18/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 48% mid — — 0.38 bull_medium +1.12% +0.51 18/08 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.23 bull_low +1.08% +0.28 18/08 20:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_low
47%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.02 range_low +0.20% -0.03 18/08 20:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 5b — 3.493×ATR p27 +1.883×ATR p87
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.368×ATR p19 +1.774×ATR p78
1h ↓ down early 6b — 1.171×ATR p0 +1.133×ATR p57
15m ↑ up early 10b — 1.351×ATR p0 -0.11×ATR p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08028776
  2. tp_price: 0.08440157
  3. atr: 0.0008221
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T07:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.65
  4. delta_2h: 0.05
  5. extension_atr: 1.16
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9546
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:10 0.08234300 +0.004%
2 22:10 0.08236500 +0.03%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08234 0.08029 0.0844 1 0.08922
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08234
  • Stop Loss: 0.08029
  • Take Profit: 0.0844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08029 - 0.08234 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08234 - 0.0844 = -0.00206

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00206 / -0.00205 = 1.0049

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
320.5193 100 3892.4894 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00205

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00205 = -3902.44

Taille de position USD = -3902.44 x 0.08234 = -321.33

Donc, tu peux acheter -3902.44 avec un stoploss a 0.08029

Avec un position size USD de -321.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00205 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00206 = 8.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3902.44
  • Taille de position USD -321.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0049

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 8.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.49 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-1.3 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8708 % 34.98 % 17
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08234 0.08029 0.0844 1 0.08922
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08234
  • Stop Loss: 0.08029
  • Take Profit: 0.0844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08029 - 0.08234 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08234 - 0.0844 = -0.00206

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00206 / -0.00205 = 1.0049

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.490% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.328% 0.1R -0.188% 0.1R 1.7× 12
2h +0.406% 0.2R -0.692% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.406% 0.2R -0.871% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.406% 0.2R -0.871% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +0.406% 0.2R -0.970% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +0.406% 0.2R -2.168% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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