Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2945.11 NIL at 0.044$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04293 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04675 (6.18 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 23:10:08
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 00:40
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.04403$
Qty 2945.1069 NIL
Size 129.676$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04293 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.24$
SL 0.04675 (-6.18%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.4
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.24$
MAE -0.37%
MFE +5.63%
0.9R
expires
19 Aug 05:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74456)
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 21:00
score du 18/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0375
Quality Score
0.405
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
951,507 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 23:02
18/08 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 17/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 18/08 20:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1630
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
18/08 23:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5043
Score SMA
—
Rank
#11
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7128 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8068 | ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4045
Score SMA
0.5368
Rank
#47
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0375
Rank Norm SMA
0.5319
Calculé le
18/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3102 | r1h: -0.146% · r4h: -0.634% · r1d: -7.91% · r3d: -4.63% · ema21_slope: -0.3786% · dist_ema21: -3.252% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3312 | rs_1h: 0.107% · rs_4h: -0.615% · rs_1d: -8.20% · rs_3d: -6.96% · beta_24h: -2.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1908 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -53.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6031 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4000
Score SMA
0.3918
Rank
#47
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0315
Rank Norm SMA
0.0263
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5768 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.522% · r1d: -9.72% · r3d: -0.33% · ema21_slope: 0.1086% · dist_ema21: -4.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4675 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.379% · rs_1d: -10.43% · rs_3d: -2.71% · beta_24h: 0.425 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1421 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.868 · trend: -53.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5446 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 69.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.935% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.178%
(0.0027)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.418% | 0.1R | -0.341% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.630% | 0.9R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.182% | 1.2R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.331% | 1.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 22.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -2.51% | +0.98 | 17/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.23 | bull_medium | +0.95% | -0.95 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.741×ATR | p0 | +0.625×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.454×ATR | p22 | -0.692×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04674737
- tp_price: 0.04293023
- atr: 0.00108655
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T09:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 49
- score: 0.3102
- delta_2h: -0.0147
- extension_atr: -1.16
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0375
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04403 | 0.04675 | 0.04293 | 0.4 | 0.08022 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04403
- Stop Loss: 0.04675
- Take Profit: 0.04293
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04675 - 0.04403 = 0.00272
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04403 - 0.04293 = 0.0011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0011 / 0.00272 = 0.4044
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129.676 | 100 | 2945.1069 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00272
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00272 = 2941.18
Taille de position USD = 2941.18 x 0.04403 = 129.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 2941.18 avec un stoploss a 0.04675
Avec un position size USD de 129.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2941.18 x 0.00272 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2941.18 x 0.0011 = 3.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2941.18
- Taille de position USD 129.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4044
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.18 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.24 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3702 % | 5.99 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04403 | 0.04675 | 0.04293 | 0.4 | 0.08022 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04403
- Stop Loss: 0.04675
- Take Profit: 0.04293
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04675 - 0.04403 = 0.00272
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04403 - 0.04293 = 0.0011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0011 / 0.00272 = 0.4044
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.178%
(0.0027)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.418% | 0.1R | -0.341% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.196% | 0.5R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.630% | 0.9R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.182% | 1.2R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.331% | 1.4R | -0.370% | 0.1R | 22.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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