Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 247 NEAR at 1.597$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5164 (5.07 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6298 (2.03 %)
18 Aug 2026 at 23:55:50
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
18 Aug 2026 23:55
→ 10:05
· 10 hours
Position
Entry 1.5974$
Qty 246.9997 NEAR
Size 394.5574$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5164 (+5.07%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 1.6298 (-2.03%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.03%
/ -8$
MAE -6.21%
MFE +0.69%
0.3R
expires
19 Aug 11:55
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74532)
#17 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 18/08/2026 23:00
score du 18/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4766
Quality Score
0.498
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.92×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
18/08 23:45
18/08 23:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2827
Score SMA
—
Rank
#45
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2383 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.10% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.4015% · dist_ema21: -5.157% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3291 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: -4.71% · beta_24h: 0.945 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1065 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.403 · trend: -74.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3895 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 67.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4924 | ATR%: 4.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4980
Score SMA
0.5238
Rank
#17
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4766
Rank Norm SMA
0.5799
Calculé le
18/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4514 | r1h: 0.265% · r4h: 0.038% · r1d: -2.22% · r3d: -1.31% · ema21_slope: -0.1104% · dist_ema21: -1.006% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4599 | rs_1h: 0.285% · rs_4h: 0.425% · rs_1d: -2.67% · rs_3d: -3.30% · beta_24h: 1.439 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2466 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.646 · trend: 17.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6551 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 34.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.920% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4242
Score SMA
0.4501
Rank
#45
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1161
Rank Norm SMA
0.3227
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4137 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.598% · r1d: -3.47% · r3d: -2.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0159% · dist_ema21: -2.514% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3618 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.455% · rs_1d: -4.18% · rs_3d: -4.40% · beta_24h: 1.034 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1961 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -1.011 · trend: -2.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4692 | ADX: 7.8 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.668% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.028%
(0.0324)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -0.150% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -0.376% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -1.897% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.695% | 0.3R | -6.210% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -11.074% | 5.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.76
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.62% | -0.56 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.58% | -0.46 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | range_low | +0.70% | -0.23 | 18/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.13% | +0.06 | 18/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 7.592×ATR | p90 | -1.356×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.812×ATR | p32 | -1.024×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.384×ATR | p31 | -0.487×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.666×ATR | p90 | +1.145×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8301
- reason: down_bo width=3.00×ATR dur=46b phase=extending
- stop_price: 1.6297887
- tp_price: 1.51642825
- atr:
- score: 0.83010971119134
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T15:55:42.412429
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83010971119134
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.067
- obi_top10 : 0.067
- micro_price : 1.59851102
- spread_pct : 0.006256
- mid_price : 1.59855
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0573
- obi_top5_std : 0.0225
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6927
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.6499
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6068
- balance_zone_mid:
1.62835
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786946400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787108400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9958
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8301
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787083200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.6068
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7826
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6534
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01438699 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.7826
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6534
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:55 | 1.59740000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:02 | 1.59740000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:50 | 1.60220000 | +0.3% |
| 4 | 01:56 | 1.60220000 | +0.3% |
| 5 | 02:03 | 1.60220000 | +0.3% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6927ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.067
avg 0.057
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.067
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.5986
Micro Price
1.5985
Spread
0.0063%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5974 | 1.6298 | 1.5164 | 2.5 | 4.2925 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5974
- Stop Loss: 1.6298
- Take Profit: 1.5164
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.5974 = 0.0324
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5974 - 1.5164 = 0.081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.081 / 0.0324 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 394.5574 | 100 | 246.9997 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0324
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0324 = 246.91
Taille de position USD = 246.91 x 1.5974 = 394.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 246.91 avec un stoploss a 1.6298
Avec un position size USD de 394.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 246.91 x 0.0324 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 246.91 x 0.081 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 246.91
- Taille de position USD 394.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.07 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0784 % | 102.47 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5974 | 1.6298 | 1.5164 | 2.5 | 4.2925 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5974
- Stop Loss: 1.6298
- Take Profit: 1.5164
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.5974 = 0.0324
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5974 - 1.5164 = 0.081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.081 / 0.0324 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.028%
(0.0324)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -0.150% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -0.376% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -1.897% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.695% | 0.3R | -6.210% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.695% | 0.3R | -11.074% | 5.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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