Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 821.2 WLD at 0.316$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3077 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3253 (3.07 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 821.2 WLD at 0.316$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3077 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3253 (3.07 %)
Position
Entry 0.3156$
Qty 821.2043 WLD
Size 259.1639$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3077 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.49$
SL 0.3253 (-3.07%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.81
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0388
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 18/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3628 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.46% · r3d: -10.44% · ema21_slope: 0.0928% · dist_ema21: -4.752% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2898 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -13.14% · beta_24h: 0.293 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1072 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.393 · trend: -57.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5161 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3131 | r1h: 0.346% · r4h: -1.207% · r1d: -3.65% · r3d: -9.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2033% · dist_ema21: -2.343% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3586 | rs_1h: 0.352% · rs_4h: -0.619% · rs_1d: -3.91% · rs_3d: -11.31% · beta_24h: 0.378 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1727 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.591 · trend: -40.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7609 | ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3767 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.310% · r1d: -2.77% · r3d: -8.56% · ema21_slope: -0.2740% · dist_ema21: -5.471% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3098 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.166% · rs_1d: -3.49% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 2.182 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1581 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.065 · trend: -28.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7614 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -0.656% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -0.656% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.546% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.632% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.774% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -10.450% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.62% | +0.38 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.58% | -0.86 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | +0.70% | -0.27 | 18/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | compressed | compression | bear_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.13 | 18/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.129×ATR | p0 | -0.75×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 6.108×ATR | p89 | -2.279×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 2.981×ATR | p64 | -1.943×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 2.969×ATR | p68 | -1.036×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3156 | 0.3253 | 0.3077 | 0.81 | 0.404 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3253 - 0.3156 = 0.0097
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.3077 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0097 = 0.8144
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259.1639 | 100 | 821.2043 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0097 = 824.74
Taille de position USD = 824.74 x 0.3156 = 260.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 824.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3253
Avec un position size USD de 260.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 824.74 x 0.0097 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 824.74 x 0.0079 = 6.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.52$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.07 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.38 $ | -0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6318 % | 53.09 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3156 | 0.3253 | 0.3077 | 0.81 | 0.404 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3253 - 0.3156 = 0.0097
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.3077 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0097 = 0.8144
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -0.656% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -0.656% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.546% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.632% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -1.774% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.393% | 0.1R | -10.450% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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