19 Aug 2026 at 00:10:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 821.2 WLD at 0.316$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3077 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3253 (3.07 %)

WLD SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 00:10 → 06:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3156$

Qty 821.2043 WLD

Size 259.1639$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3077 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.49$

SL 0.3253 (-3.07%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.81

Status loss PnL -0.53% / -1.38$ MAE -1.63% MFE +0.39% 0.1R expires 19 Aug 06:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 74568)
#43 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0388

Quality Score
0.432
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#43 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#43 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.79×ATR
4h clear 0.61×ATR
1d clear 0.68×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
9.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 00:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

18/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

18/08 23:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1631
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.90
Transition risk : 0.10
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.94
Snapshot évalué : 19/08 00:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2801
Score SMA
—
Rank
#46 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3628 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.46% · r3d: -10.44% · ema21_slope: 0.0928% · dist_ema21: -4.752%
Force Relative 25% 0.2898 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -13.14% · beta_24h: 0.293
Volume 20% 0.1072 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.393 · trend: -57.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5161 ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4323
Score SMA
0.5228
Rank
#43 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0388
Rank Norm SMA
0.5280
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3131 r1h: 0.346% · r4h: -1.207% · r1d: -3.65% · r3d: -9.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2033% · dist_ema21: -2.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.3586 rs_1h: 0.352% · rs_4h: -0.619% · rs_1d: -3.91% · rs_3d: -11.31% · beta_24h: 0.378
Volume 20% 0.1727 rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.591 · trend: -40.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7609 ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4363
Score SMA
0.4545
Rank
#42 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3070
Rank Norm SMA
0.3757
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3767 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.310% · r1d: -2.77% · r3d: -8.56% · ema21_slope: -0.2740% · dist_ema21: -5.471%
Force Relative 25% 0.3098 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.166% · rs_1d: -3.49% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 2.182
Volume 20% 0.1581 rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.065 · trend: -28.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7614 ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.074% (0.0097)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.393% 0.1R -0.656% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +0.393% 0.1R -0.656% 0.2R 0.6× 24
4h +0.393% 0.1R -1.546% 0.5R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.393% 0.1R -1.632% 0.5R 0.2× 72
8h +0.393% 0.1R -1.774% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.393% 0.1R -10.450% 3.4R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.48 bear_high -2.62% +0.38 18/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.43 range_medium +0.58% -0.86 18/08 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.34 range_low +0.70% -0.27 18/08 23:00
15m ↓ down range range weak compressed compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — — range_low -0.13% -0.13 18/08 23:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 12b — 1.129×ATR p0 -0.75×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 14b — 6.108×ATR p89 -2.279×ATR p95
1h ↓ down late 13b — 2.981×ATR p64 -1.943×ATR p90
15m ↓ down mid 16b — 2.969×ATR p68 -1.036×ATR p48

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.32533179
  2. tp_price: 0.30770025
  3. atr: 0.00389672
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T10:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 43
  2. total: 45
  3. score: 0.3131
  4. delta_2h: -0.0334
  5. extension_atr: -1.77
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0388
  9. confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3156 0.3253 0.3077 0.81 0.404
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3156
  • Stop Loss: 0.3253
  • Take Profit: 0.3077

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3253 - 0.3156 = 0.0097

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.3077 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0097 = 0.8144

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
259.1639 100 821.2043 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0097

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0097 = 824.74

Taille de position USD = 824.74 x 0.3156 = 260.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 824.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3253

Avec un position size USD de 260.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 824.74 x 0.0097 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 824.74 x 0.0079 = 6.52

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.52$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 824.74
  • Taille de position USD 260.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.52
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8144

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.49 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.07 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-1.38 $ -0.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6318 % 53.09 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3156 0.3253 0.3077 0.81 0.404
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3156
  • Stop Loss: 0.3253
  • Take Profit: 0.3077

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3253 - 0.3156 = 0.0097

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.3077 = 0.0079

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0097 = 0.8144

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.074% (0.0097)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.393% 0.1R -0.656% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +0.393% 0.1R -0.656% 0.2R 0.6× 24
4h +0.393% 0.1R -1.546% 0.5R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.393% 0.1R -1.632% 0.5R 0.2× 72
8h +0.393% 0.1R -1.774% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.393% 0.1R -10.450% 3.4R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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