Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 47.13 LINK at 9.621$ per unit. Take profit: 10.0455 (4.41 %) & Stop Loss: 9.4513 (1.76 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 00:19:05
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 00:19
→ 11:25
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 9.6211$
Qty 47.1279 LINK
Size 453.4227$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 10.0455 (+4.41%)
TP $ 20$
SL 9.4513 (-1.76%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+4.41%
/ +20$
MAE -0.65%
MFE +4.81%
2.7R
expires
19 Aug 12:18
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 74565)
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 00:00
score du 19/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4537
Quality Score
0.737
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.71×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 00:15
19/08 00:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 18/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 18/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1631
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.94
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6309
Score SMA
—
Rank
#3
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7617 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.39% · r3d: 1.18% · ema21_slope: 0.7085% · dist_ema21: 7.449% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5814 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.20% · rs_3d: -1.52% · beta_24h: 0.959 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2139 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.139 · trend: 17.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7732 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9830 | ATR%: 3.051% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7373
Score SMA
0.5547
Rank
#1
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4537
Rank Norm SMA
0.6582
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6153 | r1h: 1.401% · r4h: 1.448% · r1d: 2.72% · r3d: 2.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0445% · dist_ema21: 1.777% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6398 | rs_1h: 1.407% · rs_4h: 2.035% · rs_1d: 2.46% · rs_3d: 0.97% · beta_24h: 0.733 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.35× · zscore_50: 4.906 · trend: 132.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6184 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5829
Score SMA
0.5325
Rank
#7
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7844
Rank Norm SMA
0.7519
Calculé le
19/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6798 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.194% · r1d: 2.69% · r3d: 3.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1736% · dist_ema21: 2.499% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6014 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.143% · rs_1d: 2.53% · rs_3d: 1.28% · beta_24h: 0.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1656 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -1.025 · trend: -24.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6365 | ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.444% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.765%
(0.1698)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.167% | 0.1R | -0.583% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.178% | 0.1R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.330% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.171% | 1.2R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.811% | 2.7R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.220% | 7.5R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 20.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.64
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -2.62% | +0.83 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.71 | range_medium | +0.58% | -0.23 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | +0.70% | +0.23 | 18/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
33%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | +0.25 | 18/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.553×ATR | p77 | +2.313×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 0.731×ATR | p0 | +0.947×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.165×ATR | p70 | +2.307×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.209×ATR | p95 | +3.782×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7027
- reason: up_bo width=2.70×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 9.45134934
- tp_price: 10.04547664
- atr:
- score: 0.80271210613662
- expires_at: 2026-08-19T16:18:58.341676
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80271210613662
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.2037
- obi_top10 : 0.0351
- micro_price : 9.6061454
- spread_pct : 0.01041
- mid_price : 9.6065
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1654
- obi_top5_std : 0.0974
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6951
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
9.55915
- balance_zone_bottom:
9.3584
- balance_zone_mid:
9.458775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786953600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787112000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7035
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8027
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787108400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
9.55915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8343
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.07425656 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.9333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8343
Signaux confirmants (38)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:19 | 9.62110000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:25 | 9.62110000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:31 | 9.62110000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:37 | 9.60720000 | -0.144% |
| 5 | 00:43 | 9.60720000 | -0.144% |
| 6 | 00:49 | 9.62680000 | +0.059% |
| 7 | 00:55 | 9.62680000 | +0.059% |
| 8 | 01:01 | 9.62680000 | +0.059% |
| 9 | 01:07 | 9.59570000 | -0.264% |
| 10 | 01:13 | 9.59570000 | -0.264% |
| 11 | 01:19 | 9.61530000 | -0.06% |
| 12 | 01:25 | 9.61530000 | -0.06% |
| 13 | 01:31 | 9.61530000 | -0.06% |
| 14 | 01:37 | 9.61850000 | -0.027% |
| 15 | 01:43 | 9.61850000 | -0.027% |
| 16 | 01:49 | 9.62390000 | +0.029% |
| 17 | 01:55 | 9.62390000 | +0.029% |
| 18 | 02:01 | 9.62390000 | +0.029% |
| 19 | 02:07 | 9.60140000 | -0.205% |
| 20 | 02:13 | 9.60140000 | -0.205% |
| 21 | 02:19 | 9.56620000 | -0.571% |
| 22 | 02:25 | 9.56620000 | -0.571% |
| 23 | 02:31 | 9.56620000 | -0.571% |
| 24 | 02:37 | 9.62260000 | +0.016% |
| 25 | 02:43 | 9.62260000 | +0.016% |
| 26 | 02:49 | 9.61620000 | -0.051% |
| 27 | 02:55 | 9.61620000 | -0.051% |
| 28 | 03:01 | 9.61620000 | -0.051% |
| 29 | 03:07 | 9.65060000 | +0.307% |
| 30 | 03:13 | 9.65060000 | +0.307% |
| 31 | 03:19 | 9.66170000 | +0.422% |
| 32 | 03:25 | 9.66170000 | +0.422% |
| 33 | 03:31 | 9.66170000 | +0.422% |
| 34 | 03:37 | 9.65310000 | +0.333% |
| 35 | 03:43 | 9.65310000 | +0.333% |
| 36 | 03:49 | 9.67120000 | +0.521% |
| 37 | 03:55 | 9.67120000 | +0.521% |
| 38 | 04:01 | 9.67120000 | +0.521% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6951ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
70%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.204
avg -0.165
± 0.097
OBI Top 10
0.035
Microstructure
Mid Price
9.6065
Micro Price
9.6061
Spread
0.0104%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6211 | 9.4513 | 10.0455 | 2.5 | 11.115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.6211
- Stop Loss: 9.4513
- Take Profit: 10.0455
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.4513 - 9.6211 = -0.1698
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.6211 - 10.0455 = -0.4244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4244 / -0.1698 = 2.4994
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 453.4227 | 100 | 47.1279 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1698
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1698 = -47.11
Taille de position USD = -47.11 x 9.6211 = -453.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -47.11 avec un stoploss a 9.4513
Avec un position size USD de -453.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -47.11 x -0.1698 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -47.11 x -0.4244 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -47.11
- Taille de position USD -453.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4994
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.41 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 4.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6548 % | 37.1 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6211 | 9.4513 | 10.0455 | 2.5 | 11.115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.6211
- Stop Loss: 9.4513
- Take Profit: 10.0455
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.4513 - 9.6211 = -0.1698
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.6211 - 10.0455 = -0.4244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4244 / -0.1698 = 2.4994
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.765%
(0.1698)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.167% | 0.1R | -0.583% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.178% | 0.1R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.330% | 0.8R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.171% | 1.2R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.811% | 2.7R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.220% | 7.5R | -0.655% | 0.4R | 20.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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