Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 51586.28 PUMP at 0.00312$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003194 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002961 (4.97 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 51586.28 PUMP at 0.00312$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003194 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002961 (4.97 %)
Position
Entry 0.003116$
Qty 51586.2781 PUMP
Size 160.7428$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003194 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.02$
SL 0.002961 (-4.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8121
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8691 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.35% · r3d: 14.53% · ema21_slope: 2.0582% · dist_ema21: 18.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7666 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.16% · rs_3d: 11.83% · beta_24h: -0.149 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1678 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.560 · trend: 3.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8396 | ADX: 46.9 (trend) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.050% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7720 | r1h: 1.052% · r4h: 2.195% · r1d: 9.63% · r3d: 12.44% · ema21_slope: 0.1747% · dist_ema21: 2.949% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3658 | rs_1h: -3.070% · rs_4h: -4.209% · rs_1d: 3.79% · rs_3d: 3.73% · beta_24h: 0.259 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.76× · zscore_50: 4.567 · trend: 125.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7237 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.075% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7359 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.266% · r1d: 6.99% · r3d: 9.73% · ema21_slope: 0.2121% · dist_ema21: 3.863% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6915 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.277% · rs_1d: 7.51% · rs_3d: 7.56% · beta_24h: 1.952 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1624 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.438 · trend: -6.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5980 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8632 | ATR%: 3.411% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.209% | 0.7R | -0.899% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.273% | 0.7R | -0.899% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.273% | 0.7R | -1.861% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.012% | 0.8R | -1.861% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.012% | 0.8R | -5.231% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.772% | 1.4R | -5.231% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -2.76% | +1.00 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.77% | +0.35 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.25 | bull_medium_confirmed | +7.02% | +0.30 | 19/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.31 | bull_medium_confirmed | +5.92% | -0.29 | 19/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 36b | — | 7.3×ATR | p89 | +1.827×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.958×ATR | p45 | +1.362×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 2.98×ATR | p60 | +2.18×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.366×ATR | p70 | +1.238×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003116 | 0.002961 | 0.003194 | 0.5 | 0.004237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002961 - 0.003116 = -0.000155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003116 - 0.003194 = -7.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.8E-5 / -0.000155 = 0.5032
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160.7428 | 100 | 51586.2781 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000155 = -51612.9
Taille de position USD = -51612.9 x 0.003116 = -160.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -51612.9 avec un stoploss a 0.002961
Avec un position size USD de -160.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -51612.9 x -0.000155 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -51612.9 x -7.8E-5 = 4.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.02 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8986 % | 18.06 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003116 | 0.002961 | 0.003194 | 0.5 | 0.004237 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002961 - 0.003116 = -0.000155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003116 - 0.003194 = -7.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.8E-5 / -0.000155 = 0.5032
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.209% | 0.7R | -0.899% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.273% | 0.7R | -0.899% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.273% | 0.7R | -1.861% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.012% | 0.8R | -1.861% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.012% | 0.8R | -5.231% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.772% | 1.4R | -5.231% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.