Long Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 171.77 NEAR at 1.671$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7877 (6.96 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6247 (2.79 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 12:14:54
hyperliquid
NEAR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 12:14
→ 00:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.6713$
Qty 171.7746 NEAR
Size 287.0868$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7877 (+6.96%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.6247 (-2.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.13%
/ +8.98$
MAE -0.34%
MFE +6.16%
2.2R
expires
20 Aug 00:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75221)
#32 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 12:00
score du 19/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4241
Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.77×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 12:01
19/08 12:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 11:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1643
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2827
Score SMA
—
Rank
#45
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2383 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.10% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.4015% · dist_ema21: -5.157% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3291 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: -4.71% · beta_24h: 0.945 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1065 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.403 · trend: -74.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3895 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 67.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4924 | ATR%: 4.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6743
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#32
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4241
Rank Norm SMA
0.5565
Calculé le
19/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6848 | r1h: 2.423% · r4h: 3.739% · r1d: 2.70% · r3d: 3.34% · ema21_slope: 0.0686% · dist_ema21: 3.711% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2896 | rs_1h: -1.699% · rs_4h: -2.664% · rs_1d: -3.15% · rs_3d: -5.37% · beta_24h: 0.639 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.89× · zscore_50: 5.491 · trend: 197.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6428 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 22.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5113
Score SMA
0.4591
Rank
#39
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2700
Rank Norm SMA
0.3269
Calculé le
19/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5763 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.566% · r1d: 3.82% · r3d: 3.70% · ema21_slope: 0.0085% · dist_ema21: 2.580% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3887 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.225% · rs_1d: -2.60% · rs_3d: -5.32% · beta_24h: 0.459 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2756 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.937 · trend: 53.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 10.2 (weak) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.788%
(0.0466)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.442% | 0.5R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.106% | 0.8R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.375% | 0.9R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.88
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.76% | -0.32 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.57 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.77% | -0.31 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.47 | bull_medium_confirmed | +7.02% | -0.17 | 19/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | bull_medium_confirmed | +5.92% | -0.14 | 19/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 6.649×ATR | p85 | -0.666×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.808×ATR | p30 | +0.716×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.433×ATR | p78 | +3.416×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 6.307×ATR | p94 | +4.337×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8357
- reason: up_bo width=2.41×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.62472733
- tp_price: 1.78773167
- atr:
- score: 0.83574498962225
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T04:14:47.170462
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83574498962225
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0085
- obi_top10 : 0.0085
- micro_price : 1.66631803
- spread_pct : 0.012003
- mid_price : 1.6663
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0157
- obi_top5_std : 0.0162
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7042
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.64755
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6054
- balance_zone_mid:
1.626475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786989600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787155200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4118
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8357
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787151600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.64755
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6809
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.359
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01747669 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.6809
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.359
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:14 | 1.67130000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:20 | 1.66630000 | -0.299% |
| 3 | 12:26 | 1.66630000 | -0.299% |
| 4 | 12:33 | 1.66630000 | -0.299% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7042ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.009
avg 0.016
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
0.009
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.6663
Micro Price
1.6663
Spread
0.0120%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6713 | 1.6247 | 1.7877 | 2.5 | 4.3198 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6713
- Stop Loss: 1.6247
- Take Profit: 1.7877
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6247 - 1.6713 = -0.0466
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6713 - 1.7877 = -0.1164
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1164 / -0.0466 = 2.4979
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 287.0868 | 100 | 171.7746 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0466
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0466 = -171.67
Taille de position USD = -171.67 x 1.6713 = -286.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -171.67 avec un stoploss a 1.6247
Avec un position size USD de -286.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -171.67 x -0.0466 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -171.67 x -0.1164 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position -171.67
- Taille de position USD -286.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4979
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.96 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.98 $ | 3.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3351 % | 12.02 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6713 | 1.6247 | 1.7877 | 2.5 | 4.3198 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6713
- Stop Loss: 1.6247
- Take Profit: 1.7877
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6247 - 1.6713 = -0.0466
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6713 - 1.7877 = -0.1164
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1164 / -0.0466 = 2.4979
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7645
[stop_loss] => 1.6247
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.788%
(0.0466)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.442% | 0.5R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.106% | 0.8R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.375% | 0.9R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.163% | 2.2R | -0.335% | 0.1R | 18.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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