Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 18289.48 XPL at 0.0802$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08112 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07981 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 18289.48 XPL at 0.0802$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08112 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07981 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.08024$
Qty 18289.4767 XPL
Size 1467.6025$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08112 (+1.1%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.07981 (-0.54%)
SL $ 7.86$
RR 2.05
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4167
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.713837 15m : 0.638801 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3362 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.51% · r3d: 0.87% · ema21_slope: -0.2687% · dist_ema21: -2.306% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4404 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.32% · rs_3d: -1.83% · beta_24h: 1.253 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1168 | rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -1.249 · trend: -71.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2762 | ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 79.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0345 | ATR%: 5.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6407 | r1h: -1.343% · r4h: 1.324% · r1d: 7.49% · r3d: 7.29% · ema21_slope: 0.2937% · dist_ema21: 2.908% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4442 | rs_1h: -0.778% · rs_4h: -0.067% · rs_1d: 0.19% · rs_3d: -2.93% · beta_24h: 0.369 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4666 | rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: 0.350 · trend: 58.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8608 | ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.283% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6166 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.135% · r1d: 6.38% · r3d: 7.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0687% · dist_ema21: 4.610% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4956 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.345% · rs_1d: 0.42% · rs_3d: -1.17% · beta_24h: 0.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2057 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.193 · trend: 13.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6151 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.116% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.543% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 2.9R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 72.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.327% | 4.3R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 109.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.265% | 6.1R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 154.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.139% | 7.7R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 195.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | -0.37 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.07% | -0.40 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.11% | -0.05 | 19/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | bull_medium | +3.91% | +0.07 | 19/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 7.918×ATR | p91 | +0.305×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 3.885×ATR | p79 | +2.028×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 0.815×ATR | p2 | +2.002×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.018×ATR | p12 | +0.395×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
68573.6
0.0107522
69311
0.713837
66638.1
0.0411458
69380
0.638801
64766
0.0704674
69330
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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0.079736
196
0.7825
0.5988
0.3985
0.247
0.5225
0.5502
0.5956
0.7343
0.7181
0.94
0.6533
0.8102
0.2797
0.1492
1
1.6911
2.89
0.6
0.4
1
4
1
0.5061
0.4793
3.0145
0.75
0.5502
1.6586
2.89
0.6758
0.2898
0.9
0.5102
0.5079
0.5852
0.8508
0.8102
-1.4137
6.0353
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 16:40:00 | 0.078444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 17:25:00 | 0.078411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 17:35:00 | 0.079362 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:05:00 | 0.078654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:55:00 | 0.081357 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:40:00 | 0.079736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 0.08188 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:55:00 | 0.081947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:05:00 | 0.080586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 0.080243 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 04:45:00 | 0.074887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 0.075949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:30:00 | 0.075546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:15:00 | 0.07763 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:15:00 | 0.076858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.080911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.078411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:30:00 | 0.079736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.081947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:15:00 | 0.080333 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.073885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.077533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.075838 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 0.077432 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.077243 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 11:00:00 | 0.077506 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:00:00 | 0.074605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 0.076293 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.081947 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08024 | 0.07981 | 0.08112 | 2.05 | 0.06372 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07981 - 0.08024 = -0.00043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08024 - 0.08112 = -0.00087999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00087999999999999 / -0.00043 = 2.0465
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1467.6025 | 100 | 18289.4767 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00043 = -18604.65
Taille de position USD = -18604.65 x 0.08024 = -1492.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -18604.65 avec un stoploss a 0.07981
Avec un position size USD de -1492.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -18604.65 x -0.00043 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -18604.65 x -0.00087999999999999 = 16.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.37$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 7.86 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.1 $ | 1.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08024 | 0.07981 | 0.08112 | 2.05 | 0.06372 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07981 - 0.08024 = -0.00043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08024 - 0.08112 = -0.00087999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00087999999999999 / -0.00043 = 2.0465
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.543% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 2.9R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 72.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.327% | 4.3R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 109.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.265% | 6.1R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 154.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.139% | 7.7R | -0.021% | 0.0R | 195.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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