Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.72 XMR at 426.6$ per unit. Take profit: 454.4712 (6.53 %) & Stop Loss: 415.4515 (2.61 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 19:22:48
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 19:22
→ 00:50
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 426.6$
Qty 0.7176 XMR
Size 306.1221$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 454.4712 (+6.53%)
TP $ 20$
SL 415.4515 (-2.61%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.61%
/ -8$
MAE -4.10%
MFE +1.69%
0.7R
expires
20 Aug 07:22
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75758)
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 19:00
score du 19/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1417
Quality Score
0.632
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 19:17
19/08 19:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1650
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 19:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6071
Score SMA
—
Rank
#5
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7726 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: 0.70% · ema21_slope: 0.7514% · dist_ema21: 6.389% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6030 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.20% · rs_3d: -2.00% · beta_24h: 0.559 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1428 | rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -1.227 · trend: -31.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7198 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8807 | ATR%: 3.358% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6321
Score SMA
0.5285
Rank
#44
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1417
Rank Norm SMA
0.5488
Calculé le
19/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6197 | r1h: 0.399% · r4h: 1.777% · r1d: 2.62% · r3d: 2.38% · ema21_slope: 0.0562% · dist_ema21: 1.601% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4245 | rs_1h: 0.964% · rs_4h: 0.386% · rs_1d: -4.68% · rs_3d: -7.83% · beta_24h: 0.260 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7508 | rvol_20: 2.05× · zscore_50: 1.538 · trend: 108.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5995 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.922% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4471
Score SMA
0.5050
Rank
#57
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0372
Rank Norm SMA
0.5707
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5907 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.328% · r1d: 0.78% · r3d: 1.48% · ema21_slope: 0.0725% · dist_ema21: 0.682% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3606 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.117% · rs_1d: -5.17% · rs_3d: -7.55% · beta_24h: 0.196 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1148 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.986 · trend: -14.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3784 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 74.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.553% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.613%
(11.1485)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.622% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.2R | -2.257% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -2.257% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.105% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.105% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.461% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.57
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.49 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | +0.73 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.24 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.07% | -0.63 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.17 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.11% | -0.42 | 19/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bull_medium | +3.90% | +0.09 | 19/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.712×ATR | p14 | +1.649×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 35b | — | 4.53×ATR | p78 | +1.438×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.252×ATR | p65 | +1.57×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 6.277×ATR | p97 | +1.898×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9313
- reason: up_bo width=2.83×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 415.45150586
- tp_price: 454.47123534
- atr:
- score: 0.81130706652127
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T11:22:41.138623
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81130706652127
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3238
- obi_top10 : 0.2926
- micro_price : 425.281875
- spread_pct : 0.002351
- mid_price : 425.285
- bid_wall_price : 416
- bid_wall_size : 563.87
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 430
- ask_wall_size : 388.75
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2663
- obi_top5_std : 0.0326
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7139
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
421.87
- balance_zone_bottom:
409.88
- balance_zone_mid:
415.875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786964400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787180400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8312
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
61
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8113
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787176800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
421.87
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9344
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1169
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 4.23494135 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.9344
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1169
Signaux confirmants (28)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:22 | 426.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:29 | 426.60000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:37 | 423.38000000 | -0.755% |
| 4 | 19:44 | 423.38000000 | -0.755% |
| 5 | 19:51 | 422.94000000 | -0.858% |
| 6 | 19:57 | 422.94000000 | -0.858% |
| 7 | 20:05 | 422.94000000 | -0.858% |
| 8 | 20:12 | 422.19000000 | -1.034% |
| 9 | 20:41 | 423.00000000 | -0.844% |
| 10 | 20:48 | 423.00000000 | -0.844% |
| 11 | 20:54 | 423.46000000 | -0.736% |
| 12 | 21:02 | 423.46000000 | -0.736% |
| 13 | 21:19 | 424.48000000 | -0.497% |
| 14 | 21:27 | 424.48000000 | -0.497% |
| 15 | 21:35 | 424.48000000 | -0.497% |
| 16 | 21:42 | 427.24000000 | +0.15% |
| 17 | 22:54 | 429.57000000 | +0.696% |
| 18 | 23:05 | 429.57000000 | +0.696% |
| 19 | 23:18 | 429.04000000 | +0.572% |
| 20 | 23:29 | 428.56000000 | +0.459% |
| 21 | 23:40 | 427.40000000 | +0.188% |
| 22 | 23:48 | 427.40000000 | +0.188% |
| 23 | 23:55 | 427.78000000 | +0.277% |
| 24 | 00:04 | 427.78000000 | +0.277% |
| 25 | 00:12 | 425.55000000 | -0.246% |
| 26 | 00:20 | 425.07000000 | -0.359% |
| 27 | 00:28 | 425.07000000 | -0.359% |
| 28 | 00:37 | 425.07000000 | -0.359% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7139ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
93%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.324
avg 0.266
± 0.033
OBI Top 10
0.293
Microstructure
Mid Price
425.2850
Micro Price
425.2819
Spread
0.0024%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
416.0000
Size
563.87
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
430.0000
Size
388.75
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426.6 | 415.4515 | 454.4712 | 2.5 | 643.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 426.6
- Stop Loss: 415.4515
- Take Profit: 454.4712
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 415.4515 - 426.6 = -11.1485
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 426.6 - 454.4712 = -27.8712
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -27.8712 / -11.1485 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 306.1221 | 100 | 0.7176 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -11.1485
Taille de position = 8 / -11.1485 = -0.72
Taille de position USD = -0.72 x 426.6 = -307.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.72 avec un stoploss a 415.4515
Avec un position size USD de -307.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.72 x -11.1485 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.72 x -27.8712 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.72
- Taille de position USD -307.15
- Perte potentielle 8.03
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.53 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.61 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.616 % | 100.1 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426.6 | 415.4515 | 454.4712 | 2.5 | 643.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 426.6
- Stop Loss: 415.4515
- Take Profit: 454.4712
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 415.4515 - 426.6 = -11.1485
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 426.6 - 454.4712 = -27.8712
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -27.8712 / -11.1485 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 454.4712
[entry_price] => 426.6
[stop_loss] => 414.33665
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 454.4712
[entry_price] => 426.6
[stop_loss] => 413.2218
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.613%
(11.1485)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.622% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.2R | -2.257% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -2.257% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.105% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.105% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.695% | 0.7R | -4.461% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.