Short Trade on ACE

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19 Aug 2026 at 20:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 249.46 ACE at 0.19$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2225 (16.86 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1904$

Qty 249.463 ACE

Size 47.4978$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 47.5$

SL 0.2225 (-16.86%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -1.94% / -0.92$ MAE -3.20% MFE +3.47% 0.2R expires 19 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75789)

#65 / 65

seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0200

Quality Score

0.307

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#65 / 65

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-5

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

16.86 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#65 / 65

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

16.86 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.43×ATR
4h	near	-0.45×ATR
1d	clear	1.09×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 20:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 19/08 19:00 Score : -5 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

19/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

19/08 19:00

Score : -5 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1651

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bull —	transition -1
Tactical	bull —	transition -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.93

Transition risk : 0.07

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.71

Snapshot évalué : 19/08 20:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6937

Score SMA

—

Rank

#1 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

—

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9191	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 69.32% · ema21_slope: 5.5332% · dist_ema21: 62.738%
Force Relative	25%	0.8691	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: 66.62% · beta_24h: -0.557
Volume	20%	0.2711	rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: 36.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9762	ADX: 57.1 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 21.832% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3067

Score SMA

0.4972

Rank

#65 / 65

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0200

Rank Norm SMA

0.4012

Calculé le

19/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2973	r1h: -0.053% · r4h: -4.067% · r1d: -16.76% · r3d: 41.88% · ema21_slope: -0.7427% · dist_ema21: -6.500%
Force Relative	25%	0.3817	rs_1h: -0.145% · rs_4h: -5.389% · rs_1d: -23.89% · rs_3d: 31.64% · beta_24h: -1.349
Volume	20%	0.1731	rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.757 · trend: -32.33%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5711	ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 48.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0181	ATR%: 5.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 19/08/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.5110

Score SMA

0.5260

Rank

#47 / 59

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1634

Rank Norm SMA

0.5920

Calculé le

19/08/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7371	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.508% · r1d: -13.67% · r3d: 47.14% · ema21_slope: 1.5329% · dist_ema21: 1.478%
Force Relative	25%	0.6100	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.719% · rs_1d: -19.63% · rs_3d: 38.12% · beta_24h: -2.327
Volume	20%	0.1577	rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.804 · trend: -41.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7057	ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 14.351% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -16.859% (0.0321)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.683%	0.0R	-2.469%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.998%	0.1R	-3.204%	0.2R	0.3×	24
3h ★	+3.466%	0.2R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.1×	36
4h	+4.412%	0.3R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.4×	48
8h	+5.515%	0.3R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.7×	96
12h	+5.515%	0.3R	-18.698%	1.1R	0.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.02

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.21	bull_high_confirmed	+2.47%	+1.00	18/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	-0.07	bull_high_confirmed	+8.02%	+0.98	19/08 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	compression	range_high	32%	noisy_chop 43%	early	near -1.4ATR	—	-0.06	bull_high_confirmed	+6.94%	-0.98	19/08 19:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	near -0.9ATR	—	—	bull_medium	+3.88%	-0.60	19/08 19:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	3.6×ATR	p31	+0.715×ATR	p44
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.066×ATR	p7	-0.113×ATR	p8
1h	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.301×ATR	p0	-1.317×ATR	p52
15m	↓ down	mid	15b	—	3.426×ATR	p67	-1.053×ATR	p60

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.22246888
atr: 0.01068963
expires_at: 2026-08-20T03:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 65
total: 66
score: 0.2973
confidence: 0.985

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1904	0.2225			0.1322

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1904
Stop Loss: 0.2225
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2225 - 0.1904 = 0.0321
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1904 - = 0.1904
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1904 / 0.0321 = 5.9315

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
47.4978	47.4978	249.463	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0321

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0321 = 249.22

Taille de position USD = 249.22 x 0.1904 = 47.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 249.22 avec un stoploss a 0.2225

Avec un position size USD de 47.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 249.22 x 0.0321 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 249.22 x 0.1904 = 47.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 47.45$

Résumé

Taille de position 249.22
Taille de position USD 47.45
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 47.45
Risk-Reward Ratio 5.9315

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	47.5 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
16.86 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.92 $	-1.94

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.2038 %	19 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1904	0.2225			0.1322

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1904
Stop Loss: 0.2225
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2225 - 0.1904 = 0.0321
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1904 - = 0.1904
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1904 / 0.0321 = 5.9315

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -16.859% (0.0321)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.683%	0.0R	-2.469%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.998%	0.1R	-3.204%	0.2R	0.3×	24
3h ★	+3.466%	0.2R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.1×	36
4h	+4.412%	0.3R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.4×	48
8h	+5.515%	0.3R	-3.204%	0.2R	1.7×	96
12h	+5.515%	0.3R	-18.698%	1.1R	0.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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