Long Trade on ARB (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2010.04 ARB at 0.0893$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08535 (4.46 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05
hyperliquid
ARB
LONG
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 23:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.08933$
Qty 2010.0351 ARB
Size 179.5564$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 179.56$
SL 0.08535 (-4.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-1.91%
/ -3.44$
MAE -2.64%
MFE +0.39%
0.1R
expires
19 Aug 23:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75766)
#3 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 20:00
score du 19/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9136
Quality Score
0.843
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 17.23×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 20:00
19/08 20:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1651
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 20:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3448
Score SMA
—
Rank
#33
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2728 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 2.26% · ema21_slope: -0.4431% · dist_ema21: -3.055% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.08% · rs_3d: -0.44% · beta_24h: 0.666 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1513 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.730 · trend: -60.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4774 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5373 | ATR%: 4.388% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8433
Score SMA
0.5201
Rank
#3
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9136
Rank Norm SMA
0.4656
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9389 | r1h: 0.246% · r4h: 7.559% · r1d: 19.20% · r3d: 22.02% · ema21_slope: 0.5919% · dist_ema21: 10.154% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8546 | rs_1h: 0.154% · rs_4h: 6.237% · rs_1d: 12.07% · rs_3d: 11.79% · beta_24h: 0.621 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4898 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.451 · trend: 159.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 65.3 (trend) · Chop: -2.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.565% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6371
Score SMA
0.4754
Rank
#9
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7610
Rank Norm SMA
0.3713
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7206 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.048% · r1d: 10.77% · r3d: 13.39% · ema21_slope: 0.2482% · dist_ema21: 8.157% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6193 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.259% · rs_1d: 4.82% · rs_3d: 4.37% · beta_24h: 0.531 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2957 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.968 · trend: 70.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7131 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 19.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.760% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.455%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -1.724% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.530% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.642% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.642% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.467% | 0.3R | -2.720% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.467% | 0.3R | -2.720% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.71 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | -0.15 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.50 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.02% | +0.70 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.94% | +0.73 | 19/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.88% | +0.76 | 19/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 5.766×ATR | p83 | +0.6×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 9.171×ATR | p96 | +6.193×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 7.09×ATR | p98 | +5.085×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 9.382×ATR | p100 | +2.455×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08933 | 0.08535 | 0.1633 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08933
- Stop Loss: 0.08535
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08535 - 0.08933 = -0.00398
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08933 - = 0.08933
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08933 / -0.00398 = -22.4447
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179.5564 | 100 | 2010.0351 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00398
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00398 = -2010.05
Taille de position USD = -2010.05 x 0.08933 = -179.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -2010.05 avec un stoploss a 0.08535
Avec un position size USD de -179.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2010.05 x -0.00398 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2010.05 x 0.08933 = -179.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -179.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2010.05
- Taille de position USD -179.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -179.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio -22.4447
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 179.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.44 $ | -1.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5299 % | 56.78 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08933 | 0.08535 | 0.1633 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08933
- Stop Loss: 0.08535
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08535 - 0.08933 = -0.00398
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08933 - = 0.08933
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08933 / -0.00398 = -22.4447
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08933
[stop_loss] => 0.084952
[rr_ratio] => 20.4
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08933
[stop_loss] => 0.084554
[rr_ratio] => 18.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08933
[stop_loss] => 0.084156
[rr_ratio] => 17.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08933
[stop_loss] => 0.08336
[rr_ratio] => 14.96
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.455%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -1.724% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.530% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.642% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.392% | 0.1R | -2.642% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.467% | 0.3R | -2.720% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.467% | 0.3R | -2.720% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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