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Short Trade on GRASS

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19 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 447.78 GRASS at 0.297$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3148 (6.03 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2969$

Qty 447.7761 GRASS

Size 132.9582$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 132.94$

SL 0.3148 (-6.03%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status win PnL +2.78% / +3.69$ MAE -0.48% MFE +3.33% 0.6R expires 19 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75797)
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6837

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.07×ATR
4h clear 1.30×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

19/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

19/08 19:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1651
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

-1

Tactical bull

—

transition

-1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.93
Transition risk : 0.07
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.71
Snapshot évalué : 19/08 20:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3883
Score SMA
0.4705
Rank
#64 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6837
Rank Norm SMA
0.3723
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2243 r1h: -1.430% · r4h: -5.532% · r1d: -4.86% · r3d: -8.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1328% · dist_ema21: -4.740%
Force Relative 25% 0.0616 rs_1h: -1.522% · rs_4h: -6.853% · rs_1d: -11.99% · rs_3d: -18.51% · beta_24h: -0.266
Volume 20% 0.5405 rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.569 · trend: 197.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6502 ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 24.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.163% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.029% (0.0179)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.219% 0.2R -0.478% 0.1R 2.6× 12
2h +1.334% 0.2R -0.478% 0.1R 2.8× 24
3h ★ +3.335% 0.6R -0.478% 0.1R 7.0× 36
4h +3.543% 0.6R -0.478% 0.1R 7.4× 48
8h +3.543% 0.6R -8.350% 1.4R 0.4× 96
12h +3.543% 0.6R -8.350% 1.4R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.62
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
41%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.33 bull_high_confirmed +8.02% -0.97 19/08 16:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 44% late near -0.1ATR — 0.08 bull_high_confirmed +6.94% -0.86 19/08 19:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 43% late — — — bull_medium +3.88% -0.37 19/08 19:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 2b — 2.882×ATR p23 -1.775×ATR p90
1h ↓ down late 3b — 4.149×ATR p67 -1.98×ATR p92
15m ↓ down late 11b — 5.933×ATR p91 -1.586×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.31479607
  2. atr: 0.00595536
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-20T03:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 66
  2. total: 66
  3. score: 0.2243
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2969 0.3148 0.4885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2969
  • Stop Loss: 0.3148
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3148 - 0.2969 = 0.0179

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2969 - = 0.2969

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2969 / 0.0179 = 16.5866

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
132.9582 100 447.7761 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0179

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0179 = 446.93

Taille de position USD = 446.93 x 0.2969 = 132.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 446.93 avec un stoploss a 0.3148

Avec un position size USD de 132.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 446.93 x 0.0179 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 446.93 x 0.2969 = 132.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 132.69$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 446.93
  • Taille de position USD 132.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 132.69
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.5866

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 132.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.03 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
3.69 $ 2.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4783 % 7.93 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2969 0.3148 0.4885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2969
  • Stop Loss: 0.3148
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3148 - 0.2969 = 0.0179

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2969 - = 0.2969

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2969 / 0.0179 = 16.5866

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.029% (0.0179)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.219% 0.2R -0.478% 0.1R 2.6× 12
2h +1.334% 0.2R -0.478% 0.1R 2.8× 24
3h ★ +3.335% 0.6R -0.478% 0.1R 7.0× 36
4h +3.543% 0.6R -0.478% 0.1R 7.4× 48
8h +3.543% 0.6R -8.350% 1.4R 0.4× 96
12h +3.543% 0.6R -8.350% 1.4R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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