Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 9.51 HYPE at 68.925$ per unit. Take profit: 70.6083 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 68.0834 (1.22 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 9.51 HYPE at 68.925$ per unit. Take profit: 70.6083 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 68.0834 (1.22 %)
Position
Entry 68.925$
Qty 9.5053 HYPE
Size 655.1523$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 70.6083 (+2.44%)
TP $ 16$
SL 68.0834 (-1.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9013
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.172447 15m : 0.033144 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7667 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 16.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4755% · dist_ema21: 17.030% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6560 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2207 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.250 · trend: 27.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 26.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4227 | ATR%: 4.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8495 | r1h: 1.700% · r4h: -0.302% · r1d: 21.25% · r3d: 23.73% · ema21_slope: 0.8410% · dist_ema21: 9.891% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7700 | rs_1h: 1.377% · rs_4h: -1.054% · rs_1d: 13.34% · rs_3d: 13.15% · beta_24h: 0.711 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4581 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.249 · trend: 112.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9309 | ADX: 51.7 (trend) · Chop: -1.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.418% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8085 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.731% · r1d: 18.62% · r3d: 17.12% · ema21_slope: 0.4977% · dist_ema21: 12.623% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7496 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.026% · rs_1d: 10.49% · rs_3d: 7.46% · beta_24h: 0.606 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3761 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.359 · trend: 216.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8088 | ADX: 37.1 (trend) · Chop: 0.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.734% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.949% | 0.8R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.555% | 1.3R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.192% | 2.6R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.768% | 6.4R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 10.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.267% | 6.8R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 10.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.94 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.15% | +0.69 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.35 | bull_high | +7.15% | +0.81 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.10 | bull_medium | +3.89% | -0.07 | 19/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.508×ATR | p75 | +3.323×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.182×ATR | p3 | +3.694×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.473×ATR | p4 | +2.871×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.776×ATR | p19 | +1.292×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69085.4
0.00527704
69450
-0.172447
67000.5
0.0365579
69450
0.033144
64952.2
0.0686153
69409
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68.407
195
0.8064
0.6029
0.3962
0.247
0.5183
0.4202
0.4155
0.7979
0.7339
0.94
0.6234
0.8614
0.3488
0.1804
1
2.756
4.1336
0.6
0.4
1
5
1
0.5061
0.351
8.0632
0.7
0.4202
3.3882
4.1336
0
0.2619
0.9
4.642
0.8179
0.5767
0.7094
0.8614
-1.0841
6.7362
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:07 | 68.92500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:15 | 68.75400000 | -0.248% |
| 3 | 21:24 | 68.71400000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:05:00 | 62.026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:15:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:15:00 | 68.407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:40:00 | 72.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 70.652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:50:00 | 70.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 71.056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 68.911 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:00:00 | 58.076 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 58.489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 58.123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:15:00 | 59.412 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 58.573 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 62.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:15:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:30:00 | 72.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 71.056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 68.911 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:00:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:00:00 | 58.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 58.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:00:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.925 | 68.0834 | 70.6083 | 2 | 77.325 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 68.0834 - 68.925 = -0.8416
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68.925 - 70.6083 = -1.6833
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6833 / -0.8416 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 655.1523 | 100 | 9.5053 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.8416 = -9.51
Taille de position USD = -9.51 x 68.925 = -655.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.51 avec un stoploss a 68.0834
Avec un position size USD de -655.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.51 x -0.8416 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.51 x -1.6833 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7762 % | 63.57 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.925 | 68.0834 | 70.6083 | 2 | 77.325 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 68.0834 - 68.925 = -0.8416
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68.925 - 70.6083 = -1.6833
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6833 / -0.8416 = 2.0001
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.949% | 0.8R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.555% | 1.3R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.192% | 2.6R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.768% | 6.4R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 10.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.267% | 6.8R | -0.776% | 0.6R | 10.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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