Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 36071.78 MEGA at 0.0346$ per unit. Take profit: 0.035 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03433 (0.67 %)
Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 36071.78 MEGA at 0.0346$ per unit. Take profit: 0.035 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03433 (0.67 %)
Position
Entry 0.03456$
Qty 36071.7828 MEGA
Size 1246.4965$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.035 (+1.27%)
TP $ 15.87$
SL 0.03433 (-0.67%)
SL $ 8.3$
RR 1.91
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5096
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.027732 15m : 0.303876 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: 8.21% · ema21_slope: -0.9102% · dist_ema21: -0.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.55% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 1.145 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1589 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.238 · trend: -18.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5918 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7401 | r1h: -0.026% · r4h: 0.544% · r1d: 8.83% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: 0.4321% · dist_ema21: 3.742% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5003 | rs_1h: -0.349% · rs_4h: -0.208% · rs_1d: 0.92% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 0.516 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3628 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.181 · trend: 81.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8487 | ADX: 41.8 (trend) · Chop: 17.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.849% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6159 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.158% · r1d: 8.06% · r3d: 10.52% · ema21_slope: 0.1956% · dist_ema21: 6.767% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4725 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.452% · rs_1d: -0.07% · rs_3d: 0.86% · beta_24h: 0.591 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3707 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.440 · trend: 213.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6835 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.820% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.207% | 1.8R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.273% | 1.9R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.543% | 3.8R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.814% | 5.7R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 13.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.619% | 19.0R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 45.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 30% | late | — | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.91 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.15% | -0.16 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | bull_high | +7.15% | +0.04 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | bull_medium | +3.99% | +0.08 | 19/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 66b | — | 14.791×ATR | p92 | -0.097×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.837×ATR | p76 | +2.112×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.061×ATR | p20 | +1.563×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.556×ATR | p71 | +0.389×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69085.4
0.00527704
69450
0.027732
67000.5
0.0365579
69450
0.303876
64952.2
0.0686153
69409
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195
0.7451
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0.315
0.2773
0.3458
1
0.5919
0.4955
0.6704
0.904
0.8251
0.6959
0.2078
0.1303
1
1.1777
2.49
0.5
0.5
1
4
1
0.4453
0.9458
7.403
0.5
1.1664
3.6113
2.49
0.7413
0.3101
0.84
1.6171
0.7351
0.4426
0.8896
0.6959
-2.4583
5.6248
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:09 | 0.03455600 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 21:18 | 0.03446400 | -0.278% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.033953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:15:00 | 0.034617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:45:00 | 0.03399 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:10:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:35:00 | 0.034651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.034646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.035147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:40:00 | 0.03477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 0.035132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 0.034556 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 07:45:00 | 0.032123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:45:00 | 0.031495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 0.032199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 0.031916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 0.035912 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.033953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.034646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 0.035132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 0.034556 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 0.031213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 0.03181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.030985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 0.033175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.03109 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:00:00 | 0.03221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.031736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.032681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 0.031495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03456 | 0.03433 | 0.035 | 1.91 | 0.04908 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03433 - 0.03456 = -0.00023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03456 - 0.035 = -0.00044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00044 / -0.00023 = 1.913
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1246.4965 | 100 | 36071.7828 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00023 = -34782.61
Taille de position USD = -34782.61 x 0.03456 = -1202.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -34782.61 avec un stoploss a 0.03433
Avec un position size USD de -1202.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.00023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.00044 = 15.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.3$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 15.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 8.3 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.87 $ | 1.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2807 % | 42.18 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03456 | 0.03433 | 0.035 | 1.91 | 0.04908 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03433 - 0.03456 = -0.00023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03456 - 0.035 = -0.00044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00044 / -0.00023 = 1.913
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.207% | 1.8R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.273% | 1.9R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.543% | 3.8R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.814% | 5.7R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 13.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.619% | 19.0R | -0.281% | 0.4R | 45.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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