19 Aug 2026 at 23:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 37023.32 PUMP at 0.00326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003344 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003046 (6.62 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 23:10 → 05:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.003262$

Qty 37023.3247 PUMP

Size 120.7701$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.003344 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.04$

SL 0.003046 (-6.62%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +0.80% / +0.96$ MAE -3.28% MFE +1.96% 0.3R expires 20 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76140)
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3719

Quality Score
0.752
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -1.61×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
93.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

19/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

19/08 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1654
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

+1

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.93
Transition risk : 0.07
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.71
Snapshot évalué : 19/08 23:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5877
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8660 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 10.09% · ema21_slope: 1.9013% · dist_ema21: 15.554%
Force Relative 25% 0.6099 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: 2.16% · beta_24h: -0.427
Volume 20% 0.2165 rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.434 · trend: 34.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8807 ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.239% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.7520
Score SMA
0.5515
Rank
#5 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3719
Rank Norm SMA
0.5677
Calculé le
19/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9148 r1h: 4.014% · r4h: 8.797% · r1d: 7.86% · r3d: 15.82% · ema21_slope: 0.2734% · dist_ema21: 6.219%
Force Relative 25% 0.8052 rs_1h: 4.581% · rs_4h: 8.708% · rs_1d: 0.11% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 0.324
Volume 20% 0.3423 rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.109 · trend: 13.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7185 ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.594% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5230
Score SMA
0.5627
Rank
#56 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4496
Rank Norm SMA
0.6894
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6887 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.732% · r1d: 0.73% · r3d: 7.50% · ema21_slope: 0.3835% · dist_ema21: 3.050%
Force Relative 25% 0.4051 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.438% · rs_1d: -7.40% · rs_3d: -2.17% · beta_24h: 0.346
Volume 20% 0.2536 rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.144 · trend: 47.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6809 ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6226 ATR%: 4.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.622% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 24
4h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +1.962% 0.3R -3.280% 0.5R 0.6× 72
8h +4.047% 0.6R -3.280% 0.5R 1.2× 96
12h +16.156% 2.4R -3.280% 0.5R 4.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 42% late — near -1.6ATR 0.56 bull_high +4.72% +0.99 19/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.25 bull_high_confirmed +8.33% +0.34 19/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.20 bull_high +6.49% +0.11 19/08 22:00
15m ↑ up range range strong balanced compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 52% late — near -1.5ATR — bull_medium +2.98% +0.22 19/08 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 37b — 7.59×ATR p89 +1.745×ATR p86
4h ↑ up mid 13b — 3.155×ATR p52 +1.476×ATR p77
1h ↑ up late 3b — 3.684×ATR p84 +1.885×ATR p90
15m ↑ up late 12b — 6.706×ATR p97 +2.987×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00304592
  2. tp_price: 0.00334355
  3. atr: 8.643E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T09:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 68
  3. score: 0.9148
  4. delta_2h: 0.2602
  5. extension_atr: 1.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3719
  9. confidence: 0.99

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:10 0.00326200 0%
2 00:10 0.00324800 -0.429%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003262 0.003046 0.003344 0.38 0.003654
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003262
  • Stop Loss: 0.003046
  • Take Profit: 0.003344

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003046 - 0.003262 = -0.000216

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003262 - 0.003344 = -8.2E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.2E-5 / -0.000216 = 0.3796

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
120.7701 100 37023.3247 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000216

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000216 = -37037.04

Taille de position USD = -37037.04 x 0.003262 = -120.81

Donc, tu peux acheter -37037.04 avec un stoploss a 0.003046

Avec un position size USD de -120.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -37037.04 x -0.000216 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -37037.04 x -8.2E-5 = 3.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -37037.04
  • Taille de position USD -120.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3796

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.96 $ 0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2802 % 49.54 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003262 0.003046 0.003344 0.38 0.003654
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003262
  • Stop Loss: 0.003046
  • Take Profit: 0.003344

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003046 - 0.003262 = -0.000216

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003262 - 0.003344 = -8.2E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.2E-5 / -0.000216 = 0.3796

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.622% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 24
4h +1.472% 0.2R -3.280% 0.5R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +1.962% 0.3R -3.280% 0.5R 0.6× 72
8h +4.047% 0.6R -3.280% 0.5R 1.2× 96
12h +16.156% 2.4R -3.280% 0.5R 4.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.