Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10.19 VVV at 14.487$ per unit. Take profit: 14.8492 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.7018 (5.42 %)
Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10.19 VVV at 14.487$ per unit. Take profit: 14.8492 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 13.7018 (5.42 %)
Position
Entry 14.487$
Qty 10.1879 VVV
Size 147.5923$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 14.8492 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.69$
SL 13.7018 (-5.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.46
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3166
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.5893% · dist_ema21: 14.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.13% · rs_3d: 1.11% · beta_24h: 0.758 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1910 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.248 · trend: 5.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6603 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8120 | r1h: 1.090% · r4h: 2.741% · r1d: 6.65% · r3d: 21.38% · ema21_slope: 0.2016% · dist_ema21: 2.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7106 | rs_1h: 1.657% · rs_4h: 2.652% · rs_1d: -1.10% · rs_3d: 12.01% · beta_24h: 0.329 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1512 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.937 · trend: -39.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5921 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.234% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8188 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.166% · r1d: 4.02% · r3d: 19.83% · ema21_slope: 0.9030% · dist_ema21: 6.233% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5986 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.128% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: 10.17% · beta_24h: 0.468 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2566 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.681 · trend: 26.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9135 | ADX: 49.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8774 | ATR%: 3.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -1.263% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -2.340% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -2.492% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.283% | 0.1R | -3.044% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -3.044% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.298% | 0.2R | -3.610% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.77 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.78 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -1.5ATR | 0.23 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.17 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +2.98% | +0.00 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.68×ATR | p41 | +2.179×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.969×ATR | p0 | +1.381×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.653×ATR | p11 | +0.94×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.149×ATR | p18 | +0.56×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.487 | 13.7018 | 14.8492 | 0.46 | 20.583 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.7018 - 14.487 = -0.7852
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.487 - 14.8492 = -0.3622
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3622 / -0.7852 = 0.4613
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147.5923 | 100 | 10.1879 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.7852 = -10.19
Taille de position USD = -10.19 x 14.487 = -147.62
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.19 avec un stoploss a 13.7018
Avec un position size USD de -147.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.19 x -0.7852 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.19 x -0.3622 = 3.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.64 $ | -1.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0441 % | 56.16 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.487 | 13.7018 | 14.8492 | 0.46 | 20.583 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.7018 - 14.487 = -0.7852
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.487 - 14.8492 = -0.3622
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3622 / -0.7852 = 0.4613
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -1.263% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -2.340% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -2.492% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.283% | 0.1R | -3.044% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -3.044% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.298% | 0.2R | -3.610% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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