Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 11029.92 JUP at 0.179$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1805 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1783 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 11029.92 JUP at 0.179$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1805 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1783 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.179$
Qty 11029.9187 JUP
Size 1974.7966$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1805 (+0.84%)
TP $ 16.54$
SL 0.1783 (-0.39%)
SL $ 7.72$
RR 2.14
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5222
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.747653 15m : 0.730082 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.5541% · dist_ema21: 1.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.14% · beta_24h: 0.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1028 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.713 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5435 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5353 | ATR%: 4.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6946 | r1h: -0.534% · r4h: -0.061% · r1d: 8.80% · r3d: 7.03% · ema21_slope: 0.4079% · dist_ema21: 2.740% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4919 | rs_1h: 0.033% · rs_4h: -0.150% · rs_1d: 1.05% · rs_3d: -2.34% · beta_24h: 0.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3337 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.019 · trend: 36.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9215 | ADX: 50.6 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.243% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6164 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.237% · r1d: 8.75% · r3d: 7.99% · ema21_slope: 0.1428% · dist_ema21: 6.020% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4685 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.057% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: -1.67% · beta_24h: 0.553 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2010 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.520 · trend: 26.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7953 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 15.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.676% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.654% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.855% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.631% | 6.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.838% | 17.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.989% | 17.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.93 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.48 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.23 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.01 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.08 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.306×ATR | p0 | +0.327×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.24×ATR | p0 | +2.829×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.06×ATR | p2 | +1.627×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.273×ATR | p25 | +0.247×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69208.7
-0.0043895
68905
0.747653
67328.4
0.0234157
68905
0.730082
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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0.17834
197
0.7915
0.6371
0.4329
0.297
0.5442
0.5869
0.3555
0.81
0.7434
0.916
0.6811
0.7468
0.2433
0.1616
1
1.4249
3.1781
0.65
0.35
1
6
0.9474
0.4586
0.4268
5.8157
0.7
0.5869
3.4132
3.1781
0.0411
0.244
0.86
1.4332
0.6465
0.5698
0.9282
0.7468
-2.4178
7.1307
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:11 | 0.17904000 | +0.022% |
| 2 | 23:35 | 0.17959000 | +0.33% |
| 3 | 23:59 | 0.17934000 | +0.19% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.17924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:40:00 | 0.17744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:35:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:25:00 | 0.18154 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:45:00 | 0.18045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:25:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.17834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 0.18195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 0.17904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.16617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 07:00:00 | 0.16811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 0.16871 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 0.1664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.17702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.17834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.17904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.16502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.17055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.16914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.16695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 0.16851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 0.16298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 0.16585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.16819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.1659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.179 | 0.1783 | 0.1805 | 2.14 | 0.2336 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1783 - 0.179 = -0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.179 - 0.1805 = -0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0015 / -0.00070000000000001 = 2.1429
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1974.7966 | 100 | 11029.9187 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00070000000000001 = -11428.57
Taille de position USD = -11428.57 x 0.179 = -2045.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1783
Avec un position size USD de -2045.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11428.57 x -0.00070000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11428.57 x -0.0015 = 17.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.14$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16.54 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 7.72 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.55 $ | 0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.179 | 0.1783 | 0.1805 | 2.14 | 0.2336 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1783 - 0.179 = -0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.179 - 0.1805 = -0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0015 / -0.00070000000000001 = 2.1429
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.654% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.855% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.631% | 6.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.838% | 17.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.989% | 17.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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