Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 4919.26 ONDO at 0.341$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3448 (0.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3399 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 4919.26 ONDO at 0.341$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3448 (0.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3399 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 0.3415$
Qty 4919.2626 ONDO
Size 1679.9774$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3448 (+0.97%)
TP $ 16.23$
SL 0.3399 (-0.47%)
SL $ 7.87$
RR 2.06
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4512
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.38×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.710601 15m : 0.7452 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3510 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.36% · r3d: 2.87% · ema21_slope: -0.5291% · dist_ema21: -0.338% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3307 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.77% · rs_3d: -5.06% · beta_24h: 1.165 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1309 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.057 · trend: -49.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3370 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 74.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3502 | ATR%: 4.950% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6266 | r1h: -1.198% · r4h: 0.009% · r1d: 7.11% · r3d: 3.42% · ema21_slope: 0.3194% · dist_ema21: 1.880% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4145 | rs_1h: -0.631% · rs_4h: -0.081% · rs_1d: -0.64% · rs_3d: -5.94% · beta_24h: 0.685 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2622 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.538 · trend: 23.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8562 | ADX: 42.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.379% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5610 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.075% · r1d: 6.65% · r3d: 4.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0522% · dist_ema21: 3.833% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3958 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.219% · rs_1d: -1.48% · rs_3d: -5.59% · beta_24h: 0.775 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3330 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.812 · trend: 90.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7014 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.539% | 1.2R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.452% | 3.1R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 17.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.704% | 3.6R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 20.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.927% | 8.4R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 47.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.665% | 10.0R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 56.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.98 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.51 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.45 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.53 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.13 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.10 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.789×ATR | p69 | -0.085×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.949×ATR | p0 | +1.954×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.867×ATR | p25 | +1.054×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.921×ATR | p10 | -0.27×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69208.7
-0.0043895
68905
0.710601
67328.4
0.0234157
68905
0.7452
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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6
1
0.4757
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7.5522
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1.3728
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0.6422
0.2562
0.86
1.1277
0.6519
0.5563
0.9302
0.6683
-2.1675
4.3662
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:12 | 0.34151000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 23:24 | 0.34260000 | +0.322% |
| 3 | 23:35 | 0.34209000 | +0.173% |
| 4 | 23:43 | 0.34211000 | +0.179% |
| 5 | 23:51 | 0.34232000 | +0.24% |
| 6 | 23:59 | 0.34168000 | +0.053% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 0.35406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.35539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 0.35539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:55:00 | 0.34515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 0.34536 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 0.34567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 0.35171 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.34554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:55:00 | 0.35165 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 0.34151 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 0.32574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:45:00 | 0.32289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.34998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.33547 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:00:00 | 0.33649 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.35539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.34515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 0.35171 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.34554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.34151 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 0.33665 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.32775 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.32776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 0.33444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 0.32184 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 0.34998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.35539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.34381 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3415 | 0.3399 | 0.3448 | 2.06 | 0.3517 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3399 - 0.3415 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3415 - 0.3448 = -0.0033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0033 / -0.0016 = 2.0625
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1679.9774 | 100 | 4919.2626 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0016 = -5000
Taille de position USD = -5000 x 0.3415 = -1707.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -5000 avec un stoploss a 0.3399
Avec un position size USD de -1707.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5000 x -0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5000 x -0.0033 = 16.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.97 % | 16.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 7.87 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.23 $ | 0.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.082 % | 17.5 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3415 | 0.3399 | 0.3448 | 2.06 | 0.3517 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3399 - 0.3415 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3415 - 0.3448 = -0.0033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0033 / -0.0016 = 2.0625
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.539% | 1.2R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.452% | 3.1R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 17.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.704% | 3.6R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 20.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.927% | 8.4R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 47.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.665% | 10.0R | -0.082% | 0.2R | 56.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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