Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 8.22 TAO at 203.33$ per unit. Take profit: 205.2757 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 202.3572 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 8.22 TAO at 203.33$ per unit. Take profit: 205.2757 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 202.3572 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 203.33$
Qty 8.2234 TAO
Size 1672.0624$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 205.2757 (+0.96%)
TP $ 16$
SL 202.3572 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5053
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.74154 15m : 0.637385 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5243 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: 4.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0824% · dist_ema21: 3.719% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4129 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.21% · rs_3d: -2.95% · beta_24h: 0.837 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1197 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -1.869 · trend: -16.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4086 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6434 | ATR%: 4.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6622 | r1h: -0.704% · r4h: 0.302% · r1d: 8.28% · r3d: 4.02% · ema21_slope: 0.3504% · dist_ema21: 2.840% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4607 | rs_1h: -0.137% · rs_4h: 0.212% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -5.35% · beta_24h: 0.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2796 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.159 · trend: 17.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9182 | ADX: 50.2 (trend) · Chop: 17.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.209% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6042 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.287% · r1d: 7.96% · r3d: 4.56% · ema21_slope: -0.0062% · dist_ema21: 4.859% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4176 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.008% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -5.10% · beta_24h: 0.408 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3603 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: 111.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8193 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.866% | 1.8R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.984% | 2.1R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.864% | 3.9R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 11.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.262% | 11.0R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 31.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.262% | 11.0R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 31.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.36 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.48 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.44 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.04 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.07 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 0.529×ATR | p0 | +0.92×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 5.405×ATR | p97 | +2.833×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.747×ATR | p2 | +1.738×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.52×ATR | p7 | +0.244×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69209.2
-0.00406373
68928
0.74154
67328.9
0.0237504
68928
0.637385
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
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208.03
198
0.7422
0.5965
0.3638
0.2483
0.4583
0.6718
0.6278
0.4835
0.6636
0.916
0.6654
0.7417
0.2274
0.1355
1
1.2837
2.5705
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.5034
0.3755
5.2551
0.65
0.6718
1.545
2.5705
0.8557
0.2426
0.86
1.082
0.6389
0.6014
0.8906
0.7417
-2.0007
5.7461
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:12 | 203.33000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:24 | 204.05000000 | +0.354% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 199.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 204.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 204.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 207.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 204.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 208.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 203 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 09:00:00 | 192.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:30:00 | 191.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:30:00 | 191.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 192.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:45:00 | 199.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 196.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 204.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 208.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 203 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 197.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 194.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 198.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 194.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 197.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 189.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 191.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 188.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 203.79 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.33 | 202.3572 | 205.2757 | 2 | 221.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.3572 - 203.33 = -0.97280000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.33 - 205.2757 = -1.9457
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9457 / -0.97280000000001 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1672.0624 | 100 | 8.2234 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.97280000000001 = -8.22
Taille de position USD = -8.22 x 203.33 = -1671.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.22 avec un stoploss a 202.3572
Avec un position size USD de -1671.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.22 x -0.97280000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.22 x -1.9457 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.96 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1672 % | 34.95 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.33 | 202.3572 | 205.2757 | 2 | 221.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.3572 - 203.33 = -0.97280000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.33 - 205.2757 = -1.9457
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9457 / -0.97280000000001 = 2.0001
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.866% | 1.8R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.984% | 2.1R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.864% | 3.9R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 11.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.262% | 11.0R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 31.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.262% | 11.0R | -0.167% | 0.4R | 31.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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