Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 1708.71 XRP at 1.095$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1045 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0904 (0.43 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 1708.71 XRP at 1.095$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1045 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0904 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 1.0951$
Qty 1708.708 XRP
Size 1871.2061$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 1.1045 (+0.86%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 1.0904 (-0.43%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7355
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.60152 15m : 0.718764 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5464 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 10.52% · ema21_slope: -0.1740% · dist_ema21: 6.113% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4877 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.23% · rs_3d: 2.59% · beta_24h: 1.192 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1690 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.560 · trend: 4.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7182 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7484 | r1h: -0.863% · r4h: -0.018% · r1d: 10.44% · r3d: 10.05% · ema21_slope: 0.5081% · dist_ema21: 3.262% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5248 | rs_1h: -0.297% · rs_4h: -0.108% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2498 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: 5.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9715 | ADX: 56.6 (trend) · Chop: 5.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.199% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7117 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.190% · r1d: 10.82% · r3d: 10.61% · ema21_slope: 0.2303% · dist_ema21: 7.644% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5416 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.104% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 0.95% · beta_24h: 1.051 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3586 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: 128.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8042 | ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: -2.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.422% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.192% | 0.5R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.297% | 3.0R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.589% | 3.7R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.547% | 15.3R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 14.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.515% | 36.2R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 35.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.87 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.53 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.82 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.08 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.76 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.19 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.11 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.783×ATR | p29 | +2.104×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 7.665×ATR | p100 | +4.68×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.552×ATR | p2 | +1.829×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.603×ATR | p0 | -0.009×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69205.2
-0.000870938
69145
0.60152
67364.9
0.0259785
69115
0.718764
65116.2
0.0594288
68986
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0.7779
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1
1.2618
3.3148
0.6
0.4
1
5
1
0.4522
0.7045
5.8944
0.65
0.5037
1.4633
3.3148
0.8778
0.2402
0.86
3.464
0.9038
0.5677
0.9293
0.6961
-2.8774
6.591
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 1.0704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:20:00 | 1.0704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 1.0642 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:05:00 | 1.1359 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:05:00 | 1.0952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 1.1135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:55:00 | 1.1059 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:30:00 | 1.1067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:50:00 | 1.1157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 1.088 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 1.0032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:30:00 | 1.0032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:00:00 | 1.0064 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:15:00 | 1.0233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 15:30:00 | 1.0745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 1.052 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 1.1359 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 1.0952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 1.1157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.088 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.98815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1.0069 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.99616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 1.0082 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.98849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 1.0059 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 1.0031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 0.99558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 1.1359 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.088 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0951 | 1.0904 | 1.1045 | 2 | 1.0975 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0904 - 1.0951 = -0.0046999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0951 - 1.1045 = -0.0094000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0094000000000001 / -0.0046999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1871.2061 | 100 | 1708.708 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0046999999999999 = -1702.13
Taille de position USD = -1702.13 x 1.0951 = -1864
Donc, tu peux acheter -1702.13 avec un stoploss a 1.0904
Avec un position size USD de -1864$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0046999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0094000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4383 % | 102.12 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0951 | 1.0904 | 1.1045 | 2 | 1.0975 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0904 - 1.0951 = -0.0046999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0951 - 1.1045 = -0.0094000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0094000000000001 / -0.0046999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.192% | 0.5R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.297% | 3.0R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.589% | 3.7R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.547% | 15.3R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 14.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.515% | 36.2R | -0.438% | 1.0R | 35.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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