Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 10.58 BCH at 210.12$ per unit. Take profit: 211.6318 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 209.3641 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 10.58 BCH at 210.12$ per unit. Take profit: 211.6318 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 209.3641 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 210.12$
Qty 10.5833 BCH
Size 2223.7567$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 211.6318 (+0.72%)
TP $ 16$
SL 209.3641 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2229
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.605974 15m : 0.515624 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4014 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.06% · r3d: 4.18% · ema21_slope: -0.2004% · dist_ema21: 1.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3885 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -3.75% · beta_24h: 0.790 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1498 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.088 · trend: -33.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4119 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9627 | ATR%: 3.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5952 | r1h: 0.160% · r4h: 0.019% · r1d: 4.49% · r3d: 3.64% · ema21_slope: 0.1918% · dist_ema21: 1.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4403 | rs_1h: 0.727% · rs_4h: -0.071% · rs_1d: -3.26% · rs_3d: -5.73% · beta_24h: -0.001 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3500 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.236 · trend: 27.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9330 | ADX: 52.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.920% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.286% · r1d: 4.69% · r3d: 4.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0445% · dist_ema21: 3.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3351 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.580% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: -5.51% · beta_24h: 0.172 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3267 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.661 · trend: 78.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7716 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 31.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 2.2R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.019% | 2.8R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.118% | 5.9R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.855% | 10.7R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 10.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.644% | 15.7R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 15.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.68 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.52 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.34 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.29 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.03 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 6.174×ATR | p94 | +0.534×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.841×ATR | p46 | +2.32×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.993×ATR | p2 | +1.375×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.989×ATR | p6 | +0.653×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69205.2
-0.000870938
69145
0.605974
67364.9
0.0259785
69115
0.515624
65116.2
0.0594288
68986
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214.2
196
0.7558
0.6375
0.3997
0.2597
0.5142
1
0.4901
0.5303
0.7061
0.94
0.7151
0.6339
0.1706
0.1037
1
0.3646
1.3474
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.4806
0.5529
4.9042
0.55
1.0211
1.9163
1.3474
0.7919
0.2216
0.9
2.0535
0.7099
0.5856
0.8348
0.6339
-1.8804
3.2564
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:21 | 210.12000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:32 | 209.43000000 | -0.328% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 210.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:05:00 | 213.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 211.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:05:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:20:00 | 212.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 214.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:25:00 | 210.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 212.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 212.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:05:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 09:45:00 | 202.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 204.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 203.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 205.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 214.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 210.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 210.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 203.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 205.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 202.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 204.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 204.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 201.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210.12 | 209.3641 | 211.6318 | 2 | 236.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 209.3641 - 210.12 = -0.7559
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 210.12 - 211.6318 = -1.5118
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5118 / -0.7559 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2223.7567 | 100 | 10.5833 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.7559 = -10.58
Taille de position USD = -10.58 x 210.12 = -2223.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.58 avec un stoploss a 209.3641
Avec un position size USD de -2223.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.58 x -0.7559 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.58 x -1.5118 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3617 % | 100.56 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210.12 | 209.3641 | 211.6318 | 2 | 236.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 209.3641 - 210.12 = -0.7559
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 210.12 - 211.6318 = -1.5118
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5118 / -0.7559 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 2.2R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.019% | 2.8R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.118% | 5.9R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.855% | 10.7R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 10.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.644% | 15.7R | -0.362% | 1.0R | 15.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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