Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 643.11 MORPHO at 2.18$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2048 (1.14 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1675 (0.57 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 643.11 MORPHO at 2.18$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2048 (1.14 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1675 (0.57 %)
Position
Entry 2.1799$
Qty 643.1096 MORPHO
Size 1401.9145$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2048 (+1.14%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.1675 (-0.57%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.01
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3343
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.486898 15m : 0.439433 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7845 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 5.71% · ema21_slope: 0.4171% · dist_ema21: 10.851% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5380 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: -2.22% · beta_24h: 0.690 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1778 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.972 · trend: -18.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5951 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4772 | ATR%: 4.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6446 | r1h: -1.329% · r4h: 0.789% · r1d: 6.68% · r3d: 8.50% · ema21_slope: 0.3039% · dist_ema21: 2.457% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4623 | rs_1h: -0.762% · rs_4h: 0.699% · rs_1d: -1.07% · rs_3d: -0.86% · beta_24h: 0.619 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1900 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: -26.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8608 | ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 24.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8505 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.725% · r1d: 9.24% · r3d: 10.76% · ema21_slope: 0.2946% · dist_ema21: 6.852% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5826 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.431% · rs_1d: 1.11% · rs_3d: 1.10% · beta_24h: 0.800 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2537 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.617 · trend: 21.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8246 | ADX: 39.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.386% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.601% | 1.1R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 43.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 1.5R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 60.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.110% | 2.0R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 80.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.427% | 4.3R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 175.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.900% | 17.4R | -1.560% | 2.7R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.12 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.33 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.02 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.06 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.18 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.963×ATR | p32 | +2.405×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.915×ATR | p62 | +1.82×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.206×ATR | p30 | +1.312×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.104×ATR | p23 | -0.231×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69162.3
-0.00239117
68997
0.486898
67364.9
0.0259785
69115
0.439433
65116.2
0.0594288
68986
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2.2738
196
0.7834
0.6736
0.4041
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0.6829
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2.0422
0.85
0.15
1
3
1
0.5729
0.5872
4.9848
0.6
2.9686
5.5562
2.0422
0.4312
0.3371
0.9
0.5099
0.5141
0.5146
0.8965
0.7514
-2.337
7.0641
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 2.1376 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 2.1251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 2.2109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:40:00 | 2.1678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:40:00 | 2.1892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:40:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 2.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 2.2379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:05:00 | 2.1706 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 2.0407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 2.011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:30:00 | 2.047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 2.1608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 2.1034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 2.1542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 2.1251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 2.2109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 2.1706 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1.9512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 2.0098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.9785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 2.111 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 2.1656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 2.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 22:00:00 | 2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 2.011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1799 | 2.1675 | 2.2048 | 2.01 | 2.0389 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1675 - 2.1799 = -0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1799 - 2.2048 = -0.0249
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0249 / -0.0124 = 2.0081
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1401.9145 | 100 | 643.1096 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0124 = -645.16
Taille de position USD = -645.16 x 2.1799 = -1406.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -645.16 avec un stoploss a 2.1675
Avec un position size USD de -1406.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -645.16 x -0.0124 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -645.16 x -0.0249 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0138 % | 2.43 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1799 | 2.1675 | 2.2048 | 2.01 | 2.0389 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1675 - 2.1799 = -0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1799 - 2.2048 = -0.0249
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0249 / -0.0124 = 2.0081
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.601% | 1.1R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 43.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 1.5R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 60.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.110% | 2.0R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 80.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.427% | 4.3R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 175.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.900% | 17.4R | -1.560% | 2.7R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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