Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 70.85 VVV at 14.347$ per unit. Take profit: 14.5728 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 14.2341 (0.79 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 70.85 VVV at 14.347$ per unit. Take profit: 14.5728 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 14.2341 (0.79 %)
Position
Entry 14.347$
Qty 70.8522 VVV
Size 1016.5165$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 14.5728 (+1.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 14.2341 (-0.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3166
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.531276 15m : 0.419243 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.5893% · dist_ema21: 14.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.13% · rs_3d: 1.11% · beta_24h: 0.758 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1910 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.248 · trend: 5.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6603 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8120 | r1h: 1.090% · r4h: 2.741% · r1d: 6.65% · r3d: 21.38% · ema21_slope: 0.2016% · dist_ema21: 2.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7106 | rs_1h: 1.657% · rs_4h: 2.652% · rs_1d: -1.10% · rs_3d: 12.01% · beta_24h: 0.329 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1512 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.937 · trend: -39.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5921 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.234% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8188 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.166% · r1d: 4.02% · r3d: 19.83% · ema21_slope: 0.9030% · dist_ema21: 6.233% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5986 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.128% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: 10.17% · beta_24h: 0.468 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2566 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.681 · trend: 26.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9135 | ADX: 49.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8774 | ATR%: 3.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -0.300% | 0.4R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -1.408% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.262% | 1.6R | -1.722% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -2.098% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.739% | 3.5R | -2.670% | 3.4R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.77 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.78 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -1.5ATR | 0.23 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.17 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +2.98% | +0.00 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.68×ATR | p41 | +2.179×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.969×ATR | p0 | +1.381×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.653×ATR | p11 | +0.94×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.149×ATR | p18 | +0.56×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69161.3
-0.00314235
68944
0.531276
67364.9
0.0259785
69115
0.419243
65116.2
0.0594288
68986
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 12.054
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 11.665
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:00:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 13.616
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 04:00:00
[1] => 13.501
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:00:00
[1] => 14.706
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:00:00
[1] => 13.875
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5097119892833
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.827027027027
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.6036036036036
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 11:45:00
[1] => 13.936
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 13:00:00
[1] => 14.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 13:45:00
[1] => 13.98
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:15:00
[1] => 14.706
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:00:00
[1] => 13.875
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:15:00
[1] => 14.113
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:45:00
[1] => 14.926
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:45:00
[1] => 14.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 14.35
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7667121418827
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35540069686411
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1602787456446
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 19:40:00
[1] => 14.532
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 20:45:00
[1] => 14.281
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:05:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00
[1] => 14.758
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:20:00
[1] => 14.113
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:50:00
[1] => 14.306
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:50:00
[1] => 14.926
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:05:00
[1] => 14.481
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:45:00
[1] => 14.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:25:00
[1] => 14.322
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1350613915416
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17455662616953
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.360005585812
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
14.926
196
0.7298
0.6249
0.3885
0.235
0.5142
0.9951
0.457
0.5298
0.691
0.7134
0.6933
0.8395
0.083
0.0804
1
0.2641
1.4297
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.53
0.6697
3.2758
0.55
0.9951
2.4664
1.4297
0.6147
0.344
0.62
0.2121
0.4918
0.4487
0.9455
0.8395
-1.6322
8.538
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:27 | 14.34700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:38 | 14.33200000 | -0.105% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:40:00 | 14.532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:45:00 | 14.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 14.758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:20:00 | 14.113 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 14.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:50:00 | 14.926 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:05:00 | 14.481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 14.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:25:00 | 14.322 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 13.936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:00:00 | 14.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 13.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 14.706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:00:00 | 13.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:15:00 | 14.113 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 14.926 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 14.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 14.35 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 12.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 13.616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 04:00:00 | 13.501 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 14.706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:00:00 | 13.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.347 | 14.2341 | 14.5728 | 2 | 21.449 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.2341 - 14.347 = -0.1129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.347 - 14.5728 = -0.2258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2258 / -0.1129 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1016.5165 | 100 | 70.8522 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1129 = -70.86
Taille de position USD = -70.86 x 14.347 = -1016.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -70.86 avec un stoploss a 14.2341
Avec un position size USD de -1016.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -70.86 x -0.1129 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -70.86 x -0.2258 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0176 % | 129.32 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.347 | 14.2341 | 14.5728 | 2 | 21.449 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.2341 - 14.347 = -0.1129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.347 - 14.5728 = -0.2258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2258 / -0.1129 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5728
[entry_price] => 14.347
[stop_loss] => 14.22281
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5728
[entry_price] => 14.347
[stop_loss] => 14.21152
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5728
[entry_price] => 14.347
[stop_loss] => 14.20023
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.5728
[entry_price] => 14.347
[stop_loss] => 14.17765
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -0.300% | 0.4R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -1.408% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.262% | 1.6R | -1.722% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.262% | 1.6R | -2.098% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.739% | 3.5R | -2.670% | 3.4R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.