Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.043 BTC at 68968$ per unit. Take profit: 69342.0687 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 68780.9657 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.043 BTC at 68968$ per unit. Take profit: 69342.0687 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 68780.9657 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 68968$
Qty 0.04277 BTC
Size 2949.9611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 69342.0687 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 68780.9657 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4631
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6886 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.41% · r3d: 7.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1023% · dist_ema21: 7.275% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1635 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.740 · trend: 9.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6434 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.162% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7100 | r1h: -0.567% · r4h: 0.090% · r1d: 7.75% · r3d: 9.37% · ema21_slope: 0.3953% · dist_ema21: 2.411% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2017 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.355 · trend: -31.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9961 | ADX: 59.5 (trend) · Chop: 12.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7085 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.294% · r1d: 8.13% · r3d: 9.66% · ema21_slope: 0.2674% · dist_ema21: 5.963% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3601 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.598 · trend: 107.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8044 | ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 5.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.186% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.626% | 2.3R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 72.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.005% | 3.7R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 115.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.495% | 5.5R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 171.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.123% | 18.9R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 588.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.266% | 19.4R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 605.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
choppy 53% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | — | — | — | 19/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | — | — | — | — | 19/08 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 4.898×ATR | p60 | +3.482×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.182×ATR | p7 | +4.233×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 1.779×ATR | p13 | +1.284×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.81×ATR | p54 | -0.759×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:00:00
[1] => 63252
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 18:00:00
[1] => 64580
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 64000
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[1] => 64418
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:00:00
[1] => 64016
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:00:00
[1] => 65018
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 06:00:00
[1] => 64122
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:00:00
[1] => 70224
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 70046
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 68898
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5132912657397
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12772504281692
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6662312403843
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 08:15:00
[1] => 64216
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 08:30:00
[1] => 64492
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:15:00
[1] => 70224
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:30:00
[1] => 67792
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00
[1] => 70046
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:30:00
[1] => 68967
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00
[1] => 69773
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 69256
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:45:00
[1] => 69874
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 68898
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0862409479921
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31495834421899
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4165868385149
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:05:00
[1] => 69956
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00
[1] => 70046
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:30:00
[1] => 68967
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:40:00
[1] => 69471
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:15:00
[1] => 69445
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:50:00
[1] => 69139
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:20:00
[1] => 69773
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 69256
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:50:00
[1] => 69874
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:10:00
[1] => 68898
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.296619629619
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10159946587709
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4165868385149
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
70046
193
0.7771
0.7243
0.373
0.231
0.4892
0.9268
0.7492
0.4611
0.7102
0.844
0.7391
0.8359
0.2892
0.2117
1
1.7039
4.2412
0.6
0.4
1
12
1
0.5379
0.5817
10.9166
0.75
0.9268
3.9475
4.2412
0.8153
0.2925
0.74
2.9904
0.7083
0.5781
0.9397
0.8359
-1.905
9.7064
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 69956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 70046 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 68967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:40:00 | 69471 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:15:00 | 69445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 69139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:20:00 | 69773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 69256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:50:00 | 69874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 68898 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:15:00 | 64216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 64492 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 70224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 67792 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 70046 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 68967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 69773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 69256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 69874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 68898 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 63252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 64580 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 64000 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 64418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 64016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 65018 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 64122 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 70224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 70046 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 68898 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68968 | 68780.9657 | 69342.0687 | 2 | 74640 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 68780.9657 - 68968 = -187.0343
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68968 - 69342.0687 = -374.0687
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -374.0687 / -187.0343 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2949.9611 | 100 | 0.04277 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -187.0343 = -0.04
Taille de position USD = -0.04 x 68968 = -2758.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.04 avec un stoploss a 68780.9657
Avec un position size USD de -2758.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.04 x -187.0343 = 7.48
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.48$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.04 x -374.0687 = 14.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0087 % | 3.21 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68968 | 68780.9657 | 69342.0687 | 2 | 74640 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 68780.9657 - 68968 = -187.0343
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68968 - 69342.0687 = -374.0687
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -374.0687 / -187.0343 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69342.0686
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 03:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69435.58575
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69529.1029
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 04:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69622.62005
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69716.1372
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69809.65435
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 06:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69903.1715
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 06:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 69996.68865
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 07:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70090.2058
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70183.72295
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70277.2401
[stop_loss] => 68780.9657
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.626% | 2.3R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 72.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.005% | 3.7R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 115.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.495% | 5.5R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 171.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.123% | 18.9R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 588.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.266% | 19.4R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 605.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.