20 Aug 2026 at 01:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2.16 HYPE at 71.075$ per unit. Take profit: 72.8519 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 67.373 (5.21 %)

HYPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 20 Aug 2026 01:10 → 04:55 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 71.075$

Qty 2.161 HYPE

Size 153.5932$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 72.8519 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.84$

SL 67.373 (-5.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.84$ MAE -0.84% MFE +4.99% 1.0R expires 20 Aug 07:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76339)
#4 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9064

Quality Score
0.757
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.57×ATR
4h near 0.17×ATR
1d near -0.50×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.60B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

20/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

20/08 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1656
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

+1

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.93
Transition risk : 0.07
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.71
Snapshot évalué : 20/08 01:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5843
Score SMA
—
Rank
#8 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7667 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 16.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4755% · dist_ema21: 17.030%
Force Relative 25% 0.6560 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.127
Volume 20% 0.2207 rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.250 · trend: 27.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6926 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 26.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4227 ATR%: 4.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.7571
Score SMA
0.5653
Rank
#4 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9064
Rank Norm SMA
0.6878
Calculé le
20/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8902 r1h: 1.467% · r4h: 1.084% · r1d: 20.45% · r3d: 19.79% · ema21_slope: 0.9631% · dist_ema21: 6.576%
Force Relative 25% 0.7887 rs_1h: 1.233% · rs_4h: 1.156% · rs_1d: 12.57% · rs_3d: 10.59% · beta_24h: 0.675
Volume 20% 0.2459 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.204 · trend: -5.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9580 ADX: 55.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.189% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7621
Score SMA
0.5898
Rank
#2 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9615
Rank Norm SMA
0.8375
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8744 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.996% · r1d: 20.70% · r3d: 17.86% · ema21_slope: 0.5914% · dist_ema21: 12.646%
Force Relative 25% 0.8009 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.813% · rs_1d: 12.85% · rs_3d: 8.69% · beta_24h: 0.619
Volume 20% 0.3709 rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.437 · trend: 153.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8356 ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 3.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.209% (3.7020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.570% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.1× 12
2h +2.089% 0.4R -0.507% 0.1R 4.1× 24
4h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 72
8h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 96
12h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -0.5ATR 0.48 bull_high +4.72% +0.94 19/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 49% late — near 0.2ATR 0.44 bull_high_confirmed +7.66% +0.80 20/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
63%
choppy 49% late — — 0.34 bull_medium +6.29% +0.82 20/08 00:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.6ATR near -0.1ATR — bull_low +2.61% -0.02 20/08 00:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 18b — 5.508×ATR p75 +3.323×ATR p99
4h ↓ down late 3b — 1.648×ATR p0 +3.548×ATR p99
1h ↑ up late 8b — 1.35×ATR p4 +1.902×ATR p84
15m ↑ up mid 13b — 2.579×ATR p40 +1.402×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 67.37301363
  2. tp_price: 72.851875
  3. atr: 1.48079455
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T11:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.8902
  4. delta_2h: 0.1244
  5. extension_atr: 2.87
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9064
  9. confidence: 0.992

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:10 71.07500000 0%
2 02:10 71.27500000 +0.281%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
71.075 67.373 72.8519 0.48 72.371
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 71.075
  • Stop Loss: 67.373
  • Take Profit: 72.8519

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 67.373 - 71.075 = -3.702

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 71.075 - 72.8519 = -1.7769

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7769 / -3.702 = 0.48

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
153.5932 100 2.161 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -3.702

Taille de position = 8 / -3.702 = -2.16

Taille de position USD = -2.16 x 71.075 = -153.52

Donc, tu peux acheter -2.16 avec un stoploss a 67.373

Avec un position size USD de -153.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2.16 x -3.702 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2.16 x -1.7769 = 3.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2.16
  • Taille de position USD -153.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.48

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.84 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.84 % 16.13 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
71.075 67.373 72.8519 0.48 72.371
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 71.075
  • Stop Loss: 67.373
  • Take Profit: 72.8519

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 67.373 - 71.075 = -3.702

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 71.075 - 72.8519 = -1.7769

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7769 / -3.702 = 0.48

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.209% (3.7020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.570% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.1× 12
2h +2.089% 0.4R -0.507% 0.1R 4.1× 24
4h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 72
8h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 96
12h +4.992% 1.0R -0.840% 0.2R 5.9× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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