20 Aug 2026 at 01:10:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 7468.05 MON at 0.024$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02457 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02289 (4.51 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 20 Aug 2026 01:10 → 01:25 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.02397$

Qty 7468.0507 MON

Size 178.9793$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.02457 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.48$

SL 0.02289 (-4.51%)

SL $ 8.07$

RR 0.56

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.48$ MAE -0.00% MFE +10.84% 2.4R expires 20 Aug 07:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76357)
#2 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6500

Quality Score
0.821
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.37×ATR
1d clear 2.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

20/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

20/08 00:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1656
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

+1

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.93
Transition risk : 0.07
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.71
Snapshot évalué : 20/08 01:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4501
Score SMA
—
Rank
#36 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6101 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 4.08% · ema21_slope: 0.1234% · dist_ema21: 5.694%
Force Relative 25% 0.4181 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: -3.84% · beta_24h: 1.136
Volume 20% 0.2224 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: 20.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5414 ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3690 ATR%: 4.893% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.8213
Score SMA
0.5303
Rank
#2 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6500
Rank Norm SMA
0.5091
Calculé le
20/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8712 r1h: 1.614% · r4h: 7.209% · r1d: 13.14% · r3d: 19.72% · ema21_slope: 0.3401% · dist_ema21: 7.252%
Force Relative 25% 0.8360 rs_1h: 1.379% · rs_4h: 7.281% · rs_1d: 5.27% · rs_3d: 10.52% · beta_24h: -0.108
Volume 20% 0.5262 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.988 · trend: 52.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9716 ADX: 56.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6797
Score SMA
0.5602
Rank
#9 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7077
Rank Norm SMA
0.7418
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8220 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.185% · r1d: 10.05% · r3d: 18.48% · ema21_slope: 0.3618% · dist_ema21: 9.027%
Force Relative 25% 0.6102 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.001% · rs_1d: 2.20% · rs_3d: 9.30% · beta_24h: 0.059
Volume 20% 0.2786 rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.755 · trend: 46.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8324 ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.506% (0.0011)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.509% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.689% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.454% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +10.839% 2.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +13.041% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +13.041% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced compression range_high
35%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.39 bull_high +4.72% -0.11 19/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 46% late — near 0.4ATR 0.33 bull_high_confirmed +7.66% +0.56 20/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.21 bull_medium +6.29% +0.32 20/08 00:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
choppy 51% late — — — bull_low +2.60% +0.60 20/08 00:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 3b — 2.685×ATR p5 +1.178×ATR p69
4h ↑ up late 12b — 4.911×ATR p81 +2.848×ATR p97
1h ↑ up late 3b — 4.085×ATR p94 +3.061×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 14b — 7.559×ATR p100 +3.753×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02289477
  2. tp_price: 0.02456515
  3. atr: 0.00042849
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T11:10:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.8712
  4. delta_2h: 0.0676
  5. extension_atr: 2.96
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.65
  9. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02397 0.02289 0.02457 0.56 0.01662
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02397
  • Stop Loss: 0.02289
  • Take Profit: 0.02457

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02289 - 0.02397 = -0.00108

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02397 - 0.02457 = -0.0006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0006 / -0.00108 = 0.5556

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.9793 100 7468.0507 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00108

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00108 = -7407.41

Taille de position USD = -7407.41 x 0.02397 = -177.56

Donc, tu peux acheter -7407.41 avec un stoploss a 0.02289

Avec un position size USD de -177.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -7407.41 x -0.00108 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -7407.41 x -0.0006 = 4.44

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.44$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -7407.41
  • Taille de position USD -177.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.44
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5556

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.48 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.51 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
4.48 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02397 0.02289 0.02457 0.56 0.01662
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02397
  • Stop Loss: 0.02289
  • Take Profit: 0.02457

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02289 - 0.02397 = -0.00108

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02397 - 0.02457 = -0.0006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0006 / -0.00108 = 0.5556

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02613
            [stop_loss] => 0.02289
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 11:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.506% (0.0011)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.509% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.689% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.454% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +10.839% 2.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +13.041% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +13.041% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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