Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 88.32 VVV at 14.155$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3362 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 14.0644 (0.64 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 88.32 VVV at 14.155$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3362 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 14.0644 (0.64 %)
Position
Entry 14.155$
Qty 88.3194 VVV
Size 1250.1613$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 14.3362 (+1.28%)
TP $ 16$
SL 14.0644 (-0.64%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2357
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.499902 15m : 0.415622 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.5893% · dist_ema21: 14.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.13% · rs_3d: 1.11% · beta_24h: 0.758 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1910 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.248 · trend: 5.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6603 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5677 | r1h: -1.802% · r4h: -3.676% · r1d: 4.48% · r3d: 16.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1690% · dist_ema21: -0.572% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3599 | rs_1h: -2.036% · rs_4h: -3.604% · rs_1d: -3.40% · rs_3d: 7.47% · beta_24h: 0.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1450 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.825 · trend: -54.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.273% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.711% · r1d: 3.52% · r3d: 17.64% · ema21_slope: 0.8481% · dist_ema21: 5.150% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5429 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.895% · rs_1d: -4.34% · rs_3d: 8.47% · beta_24h: 0.467 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2223 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.753 · trend: 4.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8821 | ADX: 50.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8504 | ATR%: 3.449% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.7R | -0.205% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.869% | 1.4R | -0.205% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.999% | 3.1R | -0.770% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.999% | 3.1R | -1.349% | 2.1R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.885% | 9.2R | -1.349% | 2.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.77 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.66% | +0.76 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -1.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.23 | bull_medium | +6.29% | -0.57 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | bull_low | +2.61% | -0.16 | 20/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.68×ATR | p41 | +2.179×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.782×ATR | p0 | +1.138×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.162×ATR | p36 | -0.223×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.832×ATR | p82 | -1.802×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69328.3
0.00197059
69465
0.499902
67618
0.027315
69465
0.415622
65296.2
0.0639972
69475
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
[1] => 11.665
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 15:00:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 12.89
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 12:00:00
[1] => 14.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 20:00:00
[1] => 13.616
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 04:00:00
[1] => 13.501
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:00:00
[1] => 14.706
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:00:00
[1] => 13.875
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:00:00
[1] => 14.188
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.695244474213
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2889765999436
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2297716380039
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 11:45:00
[1] => 13.936
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 13:00:00
[1] => 14.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 13:45:00
[1] => 13.98
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:15:00
[1] => 14.706
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:00:00
[1] => 13.875
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:15:00
[1] => 14.113
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:45:00
[1] => 14.926
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:45:00
[1] => 14.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 05:00:00
[1] => 14.148
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.4447476125512
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.049476957873902
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6188860616342
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:05:00
[1] => 14.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00
[1] => 14.758
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:20:00
[1] => 14.113
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:50:00
[1] => 14.306
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:50:00
[1] => 14.926
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:05:00
[1] => 14.481
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:45:00
[1] => 14.66
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:35:00
[1] => 14.304
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:00:00
[1] => 14.528
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 05:10:00
[1] => 14.148
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5674559471366
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.049476957873902
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6858919988691
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
14.926
194
0.6388
0.6074
0.3813
0.2292
0.5058
0.9951
0.4073
0.5083
0.691
0.4365
0.6746
0.7853
0.0323
0.0645
0.6667
-0.2834
0.8875
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.5416
0.6697
3.2758
0.5
0.9951
2.4664
0.8875
0.6147
0.3351
0.34
0.0487
0.4723
0.4455
0.88
0.7853
-2.4187
8.8466
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:13 | 14.15500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:21 | 14.18000000 | +0.177% |
| 3 | 01:28 | 14.17500000 | +0.141% |
| 4 | 01:35 | 14.16100000 | +0.042% |
| 5 | 01:42 | 14.14900000 | -0.042% |
| 6 | 02:06 | 14.13100000 | -0.17% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 14.758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:20:00 | 14.113 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 14.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:50:00 | 14.926 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:05:00 | 14.481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 14.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:35:00 | 14.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:00:00 | 14.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:10:00 | 14.148 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 13.936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:00:00 | 14.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 13.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 14.706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:00:00 | 13.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:15:00 | 14.113 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 14.926 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 14.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 14.148 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 12.046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 12.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 14.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 13.616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 04:00:00 | 13.501 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 14.706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:00:00 | 13.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 14.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:00:00 | 14.188 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.155 | 14.0644 | 14.3362 | 2 | 19.625 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.0644 - 14.155 = -0.0906
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.155 - 14.3362 = -0.1812
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1812 / -0.0906 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1250.1613 | 100 | 88.3194 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0906 = -88.3
Taille de position USD = -88.3 x 14.155 = -1249.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -88.3 avec un stoploss a 14.0644
Avec un position size USD de -1249.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -88.3 x -0.0906 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -88.3 x -0.1812 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6853 % | 107.06 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.155 | 14.0644 | 14.3362 | 2 | 19.625 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.0644 - 14.155 = -0.0906
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.155 - 14.3362 = -0.1812
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1812 / -0.0906 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3362
[entry_price] => 14.155
[stop_loss] => 14.05534
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 07:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3362
[entry_price] => 14.155
[stop_loss] => 14.04628
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 07:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3362
[entry_price] => 14.155
[stop_loss] => 14.03722
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3362
[entry_price] => 14.155
[stop_loss] => 14.0191
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.7R | -0.205% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.869% | 1.4R | -0.205% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.999% | 3.1R | -0.770% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.999% | 3.1R | -1.349% | 2.1R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.885% | 9.2R | -1.349% | 2.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.