Long Trade on ARB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2401.74 ARB at 0.0888$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09106 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08551 (3.75 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
ARB
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 10:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.08884$
Qty 2401.7389 ARB
Size 213.3705$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09106 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.33$
SL 0.08551 (-3.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.67
Status
loss
PnL
-0.96%
/ -2.04$
MAE -1.61%
MFE +1.69%
0.5R
expires
20 Aug 10:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76512)
#10 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 04:00
score du 20/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8168
Quality Score
0.727
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 04:00
20/08 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1659
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 04:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5013
Score SMA
—
Rank
#25
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5655 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.12% · r3d: 17.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1636% · dist_ema21: 10.951% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.53% · rs_3d: 9.72% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1919 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -20.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6897 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4245 | ATR%: 4.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7266
Score SMA
0.5298
Rank
#10
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8168
Rank Norm SMA
0.4837
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8664 | r1h: -0.023% · r4h: 1.681% · r1d: 15.93% · r3d: 18.03% · ema21_slope: 0.7302% · dist_ema21: 4.595% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7011 | rs_1h: 0.318% · rs_4h: 1.078% · rs_1d: 7.63% · rs_3d: 8.40% · beta_24h: 0.659 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2072 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.237 · trend: -32.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 62.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.587% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6801
Score SMA
0.5070
Rank
#8
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9024
Rank Norm SMA
0.4472
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7495 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.206% · r1d: 14.25% · r3d: 16.31% · ema21_slope: 0.5093% · dist_ema21: 10.482% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6873 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.022% · rs_1d: 6.40% · rs_3d: 7.14% · beta_24h: 0.717 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3330 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.909 · trend: 95.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7790 | ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.748%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.216% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.272% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.679% | 0.7R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.08 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
ranging_calm 54% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.51 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.55% | +0.72 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.46 | bull_medium | +6.26% | +0.60 | 20/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +2.33% | +0.10 | 20/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.494×ATR | p42 | +1.832×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 8.431×ATR | p96 | +4.467×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.424×ATR | p0 | +2.133×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.621×ATR | p3 | +1.779×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.08550908
- tp_price: 0.091061
- atr: 0.00133237
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 9
- total: 70
- score: 0.8664
- delta_2h: 0.0931
- extension_atr: 2.46
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8168
- confidence: 0.934
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:10 | 0.08884000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:10 | 0.08970000 | +0.968% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08884 | 0.08551 | 0.09106 | 0.67 | 0.1441 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08884
- Stop Loss: 0.08551
- Take Profit: 0.09106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08551 - 0.08884 = -0.00333
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08884 - 0.09106 = -0.00222
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00222 / -0.00333 = 0.6667
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.3705 | 100 | 2401.7389 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00333
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00333 = -2402.4
Taille de position USD = -2402.4 x 0.08884 = -213.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -2402.4 avec un stoploss a 0.08551
Avec un position size USD de -213.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2402.4 x -0.00333 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2402.4 x -0.00222 = 5.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.33$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2402.4
- Taille de position USD -213.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.33
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6667
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.04 $ | -0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6096 % | 42.94 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08884 | 0.08551 | 0.09106 | 0.67 | 0.1441 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08884
- Stop Loss: 0.08551
- Take Profit: 0.09106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08551 - 0.08884 = -0.00333
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08884 - 0.09106 = -0.00222
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00222 / -0.00333 = 0.6667
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.748%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.216% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.272% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.688% | 0.5R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.679% | 0.7R | -1.610% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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