Long Trade on TRX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 6721.62 TRX at 0.334$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3369 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3327 (0.36 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 04:14:48
hyperliquid
TRX
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 04:14
→ 06:55
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.3339$
Qty 6721.6159 TRX
Size 2244.482$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3369 (+0.9%)
TP $ 20.16$
SL 0.3327 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.90%
/ +20.17$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +1.95%
5.4R
expires
20 Aug 16:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76525)
#66 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 04:00
score du 20/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0499
Quality Score
0.432
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.36 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.36 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 04:00
20/08 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 20/08 03:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1659
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 04:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4700
Score SMA
—
Rank
#30
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5505 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.01% · r3d: 1.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1004% · dist_ema21: 1.009% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3638 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.42% · rs_3d: -6.90% · beta_24h: 0.072 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0884 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.954 · trend: -36.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6413 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 43.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.124% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4323
Score SMA
0.5067
Rank
#66
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0499
Rank Norm SMA
0.4291
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5222 | r1h: 0.096% · r4h: 0.446% · r1d: 0.11% · r3d: 0.27% · ema21_slope: 0.0133% · dist_ema21: 0.141% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3345 | rs_1h: 0.437% · rs_4h: -0.157% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: -9.36% · beta_24h: 0.080 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1794 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.700 · trend: -30.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5760 | ADX: 12.1 (weak) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6971 | ATR%: 0.209% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4103
Score SMA
0.4626
Rank
#67
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0507
Rank Norm SMA
0.3717
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5231 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.045% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: 0.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0195% · dist_ema21: 0.389% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2315 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.601% · rs_1d: -8.49% · rs_3d: -9.95% · beta_24h: 0.067 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1757 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.964 · trend: -19.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4025 | ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.462% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.359%
(0.0012)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.350% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.587% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.225% | 3.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.812% | 5.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.947% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +1.947% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.64 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
26%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.31 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.55% | -0.76 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
30%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.17 | bull_medium | +6.26% | -0.62 | 20/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | bull_low | +2.33% | -0.05 | 20/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.633×ATR | p0 | +0.594×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.157×ATR | p0 | +0.415×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.165×ATR | p20 | +0.616×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.495×ATR | p77 | +1.962×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8703
- reason: up_bo width=2.68×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.33272981
- tp_price: 0.33689547
- atr:
- score: 0.87034244392245
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T20:14:41.054802
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87034244392245
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0289
- obi_top10 : 0.0289
- micro_price : 0.33454897
- spread_pct : 0.002989
- mid_price : 0.334545
- bid_wall_price : 0.333
- bid_wall_size : 3816116
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0273
- obi_top5_std : 0.0011
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7018
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.333705
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.33189
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3327975
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787036400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787212800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6815
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8703
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787209200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.333705
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.86
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3176
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_medium
- atr_entry : 0.00067687 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.86
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3176
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:14 | 0.33392000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 04:22 | 0.33458000 | +0.204% |
| 3 | 04:29 | 0.33458000 | +0.204% |
| 4 | 04:37 | 0.33446000 | +0.168% |
| 5 | 04:44 | 0.33446000 | +0.168% |
| 6 | 04:52 | 0.33456000 | +0.198% |
| 7 | 04:59 | 0.33456000 | +0.198% |
| 8 | 05:07 | 0.33469000 | +0.237% |
| 9 | 05:15 | 0.33469000 | +0.237% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7018ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.029
avg 0.027
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.029
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3345
Micro Price
0.3345
Spread
0.0030%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3330
Size
3,816,116.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3339 | 0.3327 | 0.3369 | 2.5 | 0.3121 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3339
- Stop Loss: 0.3327
- Take Profit: 0.3369
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3327 - 0.3339 = -0.0012
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3339 - 0.3369 = -0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0012 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2244.482 | 100 | 6721.6159 | 22.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0012
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0012 = -6666.67
Taille de position USD = -6666.67 x 0.3339 = -2226
Donc, tu peux acheter -6666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3327
Avec un position size USD de -2226$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.0012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6666.67 x -0.003 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -6666.67
- Taille de position USD -2226
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 20.16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.17 $ | 0.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3339 | 0.3327 | 0.3369 | 2.5 | 0.3121 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3339
- Stop Loss: 0.3327
- Take Profit: 0.3369
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3327 - 0.3339 = -0.0012
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3339 - 0.3369 = -0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0012 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3363
[stop_loss] => 0.3327
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 10:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3369
[stop_loss] => 0.3327
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 10:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3375
[stop_loss] => 0.3327
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 11:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3381
[stop_loss] => 0.3327
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 13:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3387
[stop_loss] => 0.3327
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 13:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.359%
(0.0012)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.350% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.587% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.225% | 3.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.812% | 5.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.947% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +1.947% | 5.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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