Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 14.03 HYPE at 70.595$ per unit. Take profit: 71.7353 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 70.0248 (0.81 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 14.03 HYPE at 70.595$ per unit. Take profit: 71.7353 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 70.0248 (0.81 %)
Position
Entry 70.595$
Qty 14.031 HYPE
Size 990.5184$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 71.7353 (+1.62%)
TP $ 16$
SL 70.0248 (-0.81%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9077
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.292514 15m : 0.058979 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7667 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 16.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4755% · dist_ema21: 17.030% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6560 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2207 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.250 · trend: 27.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 26.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4227 | ATR%: 4.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8987 | r1h: -0.574% · r4h: 2.977% · r1d: 23.07% · r3d: 20.18% · ema21_slope: 0.9281% · dist_ema21: 5.963% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7526 | rs_1h: -0.233% · rs_4h: 2.374% · rs_1d: 14.76% · rs_3d: 10.55% · beta_24h: 0.669 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2244 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.171 · trend: -23.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9830 | ADX: 58.0 (trend) · Chop: 23.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.027% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8965 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 22.50% · r3d: 20.91% · ema21_slope: 0.7152% · dist_ema21: 13.585% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7910 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.790% · rs_1d: 13.49% · rs_3d: 10.39% · beta_24h: 0.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3708 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: 102.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8625 | ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 5.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.97 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.45 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.55% | +0.85 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.35 | bull_medium | +6.26% | +0.84 | 20/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | near -2.3ATR | 0.13 | bull_low | +2.33% | +0.22 | 20/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.951×ATR | p75 | +3.838×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.633×ATR | p0 | +4.012×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.171×ATR | p40 | +1.811×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.886×ATR | p24 | +1.119×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69671.8
0.0213887
71162
0.292514
68149.3
0.0464815
71317
0.058979
65579.5
0.0866193
71260
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 20:00:00
[1] => 58.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:00:00
[1] => 59.62
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 05:00:00
[1] => 58.837
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:00:00
[1] => 60.478
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 17:00:00
[1] => 58.232
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 00:00:00
[1] => 58.15
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 06:00:00
[1] => 58
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 19:00:00
[1] => 73.368
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:00:00
[1] => 68.39
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 08:00:00
[1] => 72.625
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.91290877796901
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2229858166399
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1924257932446
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 13:45:00
[1] => 58.573
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 16:30:00
[1] => 62.639
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 19:15:00
[1] => 73.368
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:30:00
[1] => 72.69
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:45:00
[1] => 71.056
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 68.39
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:15:00
[1] => 68.907
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 06:30:00
[1] => 72.56
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 07:30:00
[1] => 71.381
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 08:00:00
[1] => 72.625
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2061962134251
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51554335187234
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.742760678612
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:10:00
[1] => 69.182
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:25:00
[1] => 69.992
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:55:00
[1] => 69.997
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:25:00
[1] => 68.907
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 05:05:00
[1] => 71.125
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 05:30:00
[1] => 70.715
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 06:30:00
[1] => 72.56
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 07:40:00
[1] => 71.381
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 08:10:00
[1] => 72.625
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 08:20:00
[1] => 70.478
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7951807228916
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.16600925111383
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0463407020631
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
68.39
192
0.7954
0.4456
0.39
0.1925
0.5517
0
0.8174
0.4479
0.7259
0.832
0.5373
0.9199
0.3208
0.2342
1
2.692
5.535
0.6
0.4
1
13
1
0.615
0.0013
8.0632
0.7
0
0
5.535
0.9983
0.2724
0.72
2.1962
0.6404
0.6244
0.8716
0.9199
-0.9967
11.4415
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 02:10:00 | 69.182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:25:00 | 69.992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:55:00 | 69.997 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:25:00 | 68.907 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:05:00 | 71.125 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:30:00 | 70.715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 72.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:40:00 | 71.381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:10:00 | 72.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:20:00 | 70.478 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 58.573 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 62.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:15:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:30:00 | 72.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 71.056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 68.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:15:00 | 68.907 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 72.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:30:00 | 71.381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:00:00 | 72.625 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:00:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:00:00 | 58.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 58.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:00:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 68.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:00:00 | 72.625 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.595 | 70.0248 | 71.7353 | 2 | 73.928 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 70.0248 - 70.595 = -0.5702
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 70.595 - 71.7353 = -1.1403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1403 / -0.5702 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 990.5184 | 100 | 14.031 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5702 = -14.03
Taille de position USD = -14.03 x 70.595 = -990.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.03 avec un stoploss a 70.0248
Avec un position size USD de -990.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.03 x -0.5702 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.03 x -1.1403 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.595 | 70.0248 | 71.7353 | 2 | 73.928 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 70.0248 - 70.595 = -0.5702
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 70.595 - 71.7353 = -1.1403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1403 / -0.5702 = 1.9998
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 71.7354
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 72.0205
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 72.3056
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 72.5907
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 72.8758
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 73.1609
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 73.446
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 73.7311
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 74.0162
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 74.3013
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 74.5864
[stop_loss] => 70.0248
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.706% | 7.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.