Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 39026.29 PUMP at 0.00331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003395 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003107 (6.19 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 06:10:04
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 06:10
→ 07:30
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.003312$
Qty 39026.294 PUMP
Size 129.2551$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003395 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.24$
SL 0.003107 (-6.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.4
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.24$
MAE -0.09%
MFE +14.40%
2.3R
expires
20 Aug 12:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76772)
#22 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 06:00
score du 20/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5715
Quality Score
0.700
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -2.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
104.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 06:02
20/08 06:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1661
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 06:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5877
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8660 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 10.09% · ema21_slope: 1.9013% · dist_ema21: 15.554% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6099 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: 2.16% · beta_24h: -0.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2165 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.434 · trend: 34.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8807 | ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.239% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.7004
Score SMA
0.5557
Rank
#22
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5715
Rank Norm SMA
0.5601
Calculé le
20/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9153 | r1h: 1.847% · r4h: 5.653% · r1d: 12.21% · r3d: 16.93% · ema21_slope: 0.3108% · dist_ema21: 6.247% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6271 | rs_1h: 1.288% · rs_4h: 1.968% · rs_1d: 0.46% · rs_3d: 3.21% · beta_24h: 0.305 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2577 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.057 · trend: -22.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7833 | ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5857
Score SMA
0.5686
Rank
#40
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5797
Rank Norm SMA
0.6748
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8185 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.031% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 10.91% · ema21_slope: 0.5983% · dist_ema21: 8.181% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5155 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.677% · rs_1d: -0.83% · rs_3d: 0.39% · beta_24h: 0.208 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2197 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.174 · trend: 23.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7088 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 40.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6103 | ATR%: 4.169% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.190%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.359% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 15.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.314% | 0.9R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 58.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.537% | 1.7R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 116.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.402% | 2.3R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 159.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.402% | 2.3R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 159.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.912% | 2.6R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 175.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.93
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -2.2ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +4.41% | +1.00 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.22 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.11% | +0.40 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.20 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.45% | +0.06 | 20/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bull_medium | +4.88% | +0.08 | 20/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 37b | — | 7.669×ATR | p89 | +2.245×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.253×ATR | p69 | +2.042×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.412×ATR | p45 | +2.06×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.787×ATR | p84 | +2.526×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003312 | 0.003107 | 0.003395 | 0.4 | 0.002931 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003312
- Stop Loss: 0.003107
- Take Profit: 0.003395
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003107 - 0.003312 = -0.000205
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003312 - 0.003395 = -8.3E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.3E-5 / -0.000205 = 0.4049
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129.2551 | 100 | 39026.294 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000205
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000205 = -39024.39
Taille de position USD = -39024.39 x 0.003312 = -129.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -39024.39 avec un stoploss a 0.003107
Avec un position size USD de -129.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -39024.39 x -0.000205 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -39024.39 x -8.3E-5 = 3.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position -39024.39
- Taille de position USD -129.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4049
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.24 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0906 % | 1.46 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003312 | 0.003107 | 0.003395 | 0.4 | 0.002931 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003312
- Stop Loss: 0.003107
- Take Profit: 0.003395
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003107 - 0.003312 = -0.000205
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003312 - 0.003395 = -8.3E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.3E-5 / -0.000205 = 0.4049
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.003722
[stop_loss] => 0.003107
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 15:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.190%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.359% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 15.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.314% | 0.9R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 58.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.537% | 1.7R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 116.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.402% | 2.3R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 159.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.402% | 2.3R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 159.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.912% | 2.6R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 175.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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