Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.17 HYPE at 73.214$ per unit. Take profit: 75.0444 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 69.5353 (5.02 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.17 HYPE at 73.214$ per unit. Take profit: 75.0444 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 69.5353 (5.02 %)
Position
Entry 73.214$
Qty 2.1747 HYPE
Size 159.217$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 75.0444 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.98$
SL 69.5353 (-5.02%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8786
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 20/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7667 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 16.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4755% · dist_ema21: 17.030% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6560 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2207 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.250 · trend: 27.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 26.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4227 | ATR%: 4.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9104 | r1h: 0.140% · r4h: 2.855% · r1d: 25.74% · r3d: 23.46% · ema21_slope: 0.7934% · dist_ema21: 6.829% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6714 | rs_1h: -0.419% · rs_4h: -0.831% · rs_1d: 13.99% · rs_3d: 9.74% · beta_24h: 0.552 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4305 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.548 · trend: 42.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9181 | ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.116% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8965 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 22.50% · r3d: 20.91% · ema21_slope: 0.7152% · dist_ema21: 13.585% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7910 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.790% · rs_1d: 13.49% · rs_3d: 10.39% · beta_24h: 0.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3708 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: 102.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8625 | ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 5.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -2.426% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -2.546% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.742% | 0.2R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.556% | 0.3R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.439% | 0.5R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.97 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.11% | +0.78 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.35 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.45% | +0.83 | 20/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.13 | bull_medium | +4.95% | -0.02 | 20/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.951×ATR | p75 | +3.838×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.634×ATR | p21 | +4.112×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.111×ATR | p72 | +2.798×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.765×ATR | p15 | +1.382×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.214 | 69.5353 | 75.0444 | 0.5 | 65.291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 69.5353 - 73.214 = -3.6787
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.214 - 75.0444 = -1.8304
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8304 / -3.6787 = 0.4976
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159.217 | 100 | 2.1747 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.6787 = -2.17
Taille de position USD = -2.17 x 73.214 = -158.87
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.17 avec un stoploss a 69.5353
Avec un position size USD de -158.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.17 x -3.6787 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.17 x -1.8304 = 3.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.02 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.085 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.024 % | 60.18 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.214 | 69.5353 | 75.0444 | 0.5 | 65.291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 69.5353 - 73.214 = -3.6787
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.214 - 75.0444 = -1.8304
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8304 / -3.6787 = 0.4976
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -2.426% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -2.546% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.742% | 0.2R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.556% | 0.3R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.439% | 0.5R | -3.024% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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