Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 990.41 MORPHO at 2.204$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2203 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 2.196 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 990.41 MORPHO at 2.204$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2203 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 2.196 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 2.2041$
Qty 990.4128 MORPHO
Size 2182.9689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2203 (+0.73%)
TP $ 16.04$
SL 2.196 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2576
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.454991 15m : 0.483851 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7845 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 5.71% · ema21_slope: 0.4171% · dist_ema21: 10.851% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5380 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: -2.22% · beta_24h: 0.690 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1778 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.972 · trend: -18.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5951 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4772 | ATR%: 4.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7048 | r1h: -0.163% · r4h: 0.477% · r1d: 8.90% · r3d: 6.16% · ema21_slope: 0.2549% · dist_ema21: 1.863% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3045 | rs_1h: -0.722% · rs_4h: -3.208% · rs_1d: -2.85% · rs_3d: -7.56% · beta_24h: 0.549 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1795 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.489 · trend: -40.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8293 | ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.292% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7471 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.873% · r1d: 7.69% · r3d: 6.14% · ema21_slope: 0.2635% · dist_ema21: 4.391% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4675 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.227% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: -4.38% · beta_24h: 0.838 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.851 · trend: -7.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8352 | ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 33.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.410% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.889% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.889% | 2.4R | -1.992% | 5.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.534% | 9.6R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.693% | 23.7R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.693% | 23.7R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.06 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.30 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.33% | -0.30 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.00% | -0.27 | 20/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | — | bull_medium_confirmed | +4.48% | -0.26 | 20/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.378×ATR | p21 | +1.858×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.212×ATR | p62 | +1.778×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 1.52×ATR | p5 | +1.349×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.41×ATR | p3 | +0.598×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70636.8
0.018448
71940
0.454991
68823.3
0.0440199
71853
0.483851
65829.4
0.0906369
71796
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2.1706
192
0.7979
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0.5797
0.8017
0.3221
0.6458
0.8202
0.1427
0.1135
1
1.4036
2.8991
0.85
0.15
1
10
1
0.5713
0.6247
4.9848
0.6
0.6056
3.0188
2.8991
0.101
0.3501
0.3
-0.0868
0.4258
0.4982
0.8343
0.8202
-2.3188
10.5768
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:55:00 | 2.2041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 2.1814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:55:00 | 2.1966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:30:00 | 2.1854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:10:00 | 2.2194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:35:00 | 2.198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 2.2288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:50:00 | 2.2092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:55:00 | 2.2027 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 2.1608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 2.1034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 2.1542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 2.1251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 2.2109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 2.1706 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:45:00 | 2.2041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 2.1814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 2.0098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.9785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 2.111 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 2.1656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 2.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 22:00:00 | 2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 2.011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2041 | 2.196 | 2.2203 | 2 | 1.7535 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.196 - 2.2041 = -0.0080999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2041 - 2.2203 = -0.0162
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0162 / -0.0080999999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2182.9689 | 100 | 990.4128 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0080999999999998 = -987.65
Taille de position USD = -987.65 x 2.2041 = -2176.88
Donc, tu peux acheter -987.65 avec un stoploss a 2.196
Avec un position size USD de -2176.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -987.65 x -0.0080999999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -987.65 x -0.0162 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.04 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2041 | 2.196 | 2.2203 | 2 | 1.7535 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.196 - 2.2041 = -0.0080999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2041 - 2.2203 = -0.0162
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0162 / -0.0080999999999998 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.889% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.889% | 2.4R | -1.992% | 5.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.534% | 9.6R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.693% | 23.7R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.693% | 23.7R | -2.641% | 7.2R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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