Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 12.95 HYPE at 71.78$ per unit. Take profit: 73.0155 (1.72 %) & Stop Loss: 71.1622 (0.86 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 12.95 HYPE at 71.78$ per unit. Take profit: 73.0155 (1.72 %) & Stop Loss: 71.1622 (0.86 %)
Position
Entry 71.78$
Qty 12.9499 HYPE
Size 929.5415$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 73.0155 (+1.72%)
TP $ 16$
SL 71.1622 (-0.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8477
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 20/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.014618 15m : 0.082081 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7667 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 16.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4755% · dist_ema21: 17.030% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6560 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2207 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.250 · trend: 27.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 26.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4227 | ATR%: 4.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8281 | r1h: -0.837% · r4h: 0.814% · r1d: 24.02% · r3d: 21.29% · ema21_slope: 0.7319% · dist_ema21: 5.297% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6195 | rs_1h: -0.842% · rs_4h: -1.982% · rs_1d: 12.59% · rs_3d: 8.51% · beta_24h: 0.586 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2893 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.102 · trend: 22.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9178 | ADX: 60.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.162% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8965 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.144% · r1d: 22.50% · r3d: 20.91% · ema21_slope: 0.7152% · dist_ema21: 13.585% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7910 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.790% · rs_1d: 13.49% · rs_3d: 10.39% · beta_24h: 0.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3708 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: 102.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8625 | ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 5.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.644% | 1.9R | -0.477% | 0.6R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.644% | 1.9R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.644% | 1.9R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.585% | 4.2R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.486% | 5.2R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.48 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.97 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.33% | +0.72 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.1ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.36 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.00% | +0.79 | 20/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +4.43% | -0.19 | 20/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.951×ATR | p75 | +3.838×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.202×ATR | p3 | +3.761×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.33×ATR | p5 | +2.276×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.923×ATR | p61 | +0.01×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70667.1
0.0190309
72012
0.014618
68890.1
0.0453161
72012
0.082081
65957.9
0.0924528
72056
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74.623
198
0.8254
0.6554
0.3062
0.1692
0.4183
1
0.7154
0.4905
0.7696
0.856
0.6993
0.8891
0.2715
0.2041
1
2.0551
4.5875
0.6
0.4
1
1
1
0.6616
0.5186
3.9888
0.75
366.6471
3.6586
4.5875
0.736
0.2842
0.76
1.7568
0.5257
0.6348
0.9339
0.8891
-1.2463
9.9918
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:30:00 | 70.715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 72.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:40:00 | 71.381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:10:00 | 72.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:20:00 | 70.478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 74.623 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:50:00 | 72.708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 73.757 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:55:00 | 72.687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:05:00 | 71.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 62.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:15:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:30:00 | 72.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 71.056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 68.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:15:00 | 68.907 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 72.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:15:00 | 70.478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 74.623 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 71.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 58.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 59.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 05:00:00 | 58.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 60.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 17:00:00 | 58.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 58.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:00:00 | 73.368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 68.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 74.623 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.78 | 71.1622 | 73.0155 | 2 | 65.384 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 71.1622 - 71.78 = -0.6178
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 71.78 - 73.0155 = -1.2355
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2355 / -0.6178 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 929.5415 | 100 | 12.9499 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6178 = -12.95
Taille de position USD = -12.95 x 71.78 = -929.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.95 avec un stoploss a 71.1622
Avec un position size USD de -929.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.95 x -0.6178 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.95 x -1.2355 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8819 % | 102.46 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.78 | 71.1622 | 73.0155 | 2 | 65.384 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 71.1622 - 71.78 = -0.6178
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 71.78 - 73.0155 = -1.2355
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2355 / -0.6178 = 1.9998
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.644% | 1.9R | -0.477% | 0.6R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.644% | 1.9R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.644% | 1.9R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.585% | 4.2R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.486% | 5.2R | -1.087% | 1.3R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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