Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.92 BCH at 215.16$ per unit. Take profit: 216.9537 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 214.2632 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.92 BCH at 215.16$ per unit. Take profit: 216.9537 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 214.2632 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 215.16$
Qty 8.9203 BCH
Size 1919.3007$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 216.9537 (+0.83%)
TP $ 16$
SL 214.2632 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3229
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.41×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.185343 15m : 0.598458 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4014 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.06% · r3d: 4.18% · ema21_slope: -0.2004% · dist_ema21: 1.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3885 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -3.75% · beta_24h: 0.790 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1498 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.088 · trend: -33.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4119 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9627 | ATR%: 3.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6649 | r1h: -0.359% · r4h: 1.362% · r1d: 6.23% · r3d: 5.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1985% · dist_ema21: 2.015% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3015 | rs_1h: -0.574% · rs_4h: -1.932% · rs_1d: -5.65% · rs_3d: -7.63% · beta_24h: 0.173 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3201 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.529 · trend: 66.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8568 | ADX: 46.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.988% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5821 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.315% · r1d: 5.08% · r3d: 5.14% · ema21_slope: 0.1407% · dist_ema21: 3.443% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3945 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.061% · rs_1d: 0.56% · rs_3d: -6.50% · beta_24h: 0.239 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3372 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.471 · trend: 76.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8121 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 2.2R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.924% | 4.6R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.853% | 9.2R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 13.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.447% | 13.1R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 19.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.447% | 13.1R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 19.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | continuation_ready | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.71 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.46 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | -0.60 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | +0.04 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | — | bull_medium | +4.43% | -0.14 | 20/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 6.147×ATR | p94 | +0.224×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.872×ATR | p71 | +2.841×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.681×ATR | p67 | +1.882×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.548×ATR | p3 | +1.173×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70954.6
0.00906755
71598
0.185343
69132.7
0.0356592
71598
0.598458
66058.9
0.087044
71809
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208.64
190
0.6494
0.5657
0.3072
0.2487
0.355
1
0.4355
0.5041
0.4295
0.6049
0.7407
0.8556
0.2323
0.1552
1
1.4751
3.17
0.55
0.45
-1
9
1
0.5026
0.6297
2.6829
0.5
1.4367
2.8183
3.17
0.2665
0.206
0.68
-0.0047
0.5614
0.6075
0.8968
0.8556
-1.1057
6.5498
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 211.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:00:00 | 214.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:20:00 | 212.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:05:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:30:00 | 215.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:30:00 | 217.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 217.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:15:00 | 215.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:35:00 | 217.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:05:00 | 214.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 203.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 205.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 214.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 210.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 210.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 214.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 205.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 202.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 204.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 204.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 201.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.16 | 214.2632 | 216.9537 | 2 | 209.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.2632 - 215.16 = -0.89679999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.16 - 216.9537 = -1.7937
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7937 / -0.89679999999998 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1919.3007 | 100 | 8.9203 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.89679999999998 = -8.92
Taille de position USD = -8.92 x 215.16 = -1919.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.92 avec un stoploss a 214.2632
Avec un position size USD de -1919.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.92 x -0.89679999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.92 x -1.7937 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2789 % | 66.91 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.16 | 214.2632 | 216.9537 | 2 | 209.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.2632 - 215.16 = -0.89679999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.16 - 216.9537 = -1.7937
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7937 / -0.89679999999998 = 2.0001
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 2.2R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.924% | 4.6R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.853% | 9.2R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 13.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.447% | 13.1R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 19.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.447% | 13.1R | -0.279% | 0.7R | 19.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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