Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7395.63 JUP at 0.187$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1896 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1863 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7395.63 JUP at 0.187$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1896 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1863 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.1874$
Qty 7395.6292 JUP
Size 1386.0149$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1896 (+1.17%)
TP $ 16.27$
SL 0.1863 (-0.59%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6833
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.237579 15m : 0.713741 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.5541% · dist_ema21: 1.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.14% · beta_24h: 0.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1028 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.713 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5435 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5353 | ATR%: 4.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8536 | r1h: 0.468% · r4h: 3.216% · r1d: 13.93% · r3d: 13.05% · ema21_slope: 0.3739% · dist_ema21: 4.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5313 | rs_1h: 0.253% · rs_4h: -0.079% · rs_1d: 2.05% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 0.641 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3657 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.084 · trend: 47.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9810 | ADX: 57.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.304% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6593 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.152% · r1d: 7.97% · r3d: 10.81% · ema21_slope: 0.3424% · dist_ema21: 6.831% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5063 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.776% · rs_1d: 3.44% · rs_3d: -0.83% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2364 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.321 · trend: 43.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8450 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 15.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.550% | 0.9R | -0.913% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.614% | 1.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.93 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | -0.09 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
ranging_calm 54% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | +0.43 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.71 | bull_medium | +4.43% | +0.12 | 20/08 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.099×ATR | p0 | +0.181×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.938×ATR | p48 | +3.867×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.063×ATR | p84 | +3.458×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.355×ATR | p24 | +2.368×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70954.6
0.00906755
71598
0.237579
69132.7
0.0356592
71598
0.713741
66058.9
0.087044
71809
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188
0.8056
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0.2992
0.5067
0.5869
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0.8004
0.7434
0.7866
0.6872
0.8882
0.3373
0.2213
1
2.2127
4.5935
0.65
0.35
1
15
1
0.4016
0.4268
5.8157
0.6
0.5869
3.4132
4.5935
0.0411
0.1584
0.78
0.1779
0.6208
0.6364
0.8583
0.8882
-1.2497
9.9275
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:14 | 0.18741000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 08:24 | 0.18723000 | -0.091% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:35:00 | 0.18061 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:50:00 | 0.17993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:25:00 | 0.18535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:45:00 | 0.18402 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 0.19124 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:55:00 | 0.18817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:50:00 | 0.19029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:15:00 | 0.18855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:35:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:05:00 | 0.18697 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.17702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.17834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.17904 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 0.19124 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:45:00 | 0.18817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:30:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 0.18697 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.17055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.16914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.16695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 0.16851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 0.16298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 0.16585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.16819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.1659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1874 | 0.1863 | 0.1896 | 2 | 0.2682 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1863 - 0.1874 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1874 - 0.1896 = -0.0022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0022 / -0.0011 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1386.0149 | 100 | 7395.6292 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0011 = -7272.73
Taille de position USD = -7272.73 x 0.1874 = -1362.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.1863
Avec un position size USD de -1362.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0022 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.17 % | 16.27 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.14 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6243 % | 106.35 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1874 | 0.1863 | 0.1896 | 2 | 0.2682 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1863 - 0.1874 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1874 - 0.1896 = -0.0022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0022 / -0.0011 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.550% | 0.9R | -0.913% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.614% | 1.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.010% | 5.1R | -1.003% | 1.7R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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