Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 620.45 MORPHO at 2.162$ per unit. Take profit: 2.188 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1493 (0.6 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (CatchTheWave)
With 620.45 MORPHO at 2.162$ per unit. Take profit: 2.188 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1493 (0.6 %)
Position
Entry 2.1622$
Qty 620.447 MORPHO
Size 1341.5305$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 2.188 (+1.19%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.1493 (-0.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2011
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.475288 15m : 0.510653 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7845 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.48% · r3d: 5.71% · ema21_slope: 0.4171% · dist_ema21: 10.851% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5380 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: -2.22% · beta_24h: 0.690 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1778 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.972 · trend: -18.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5951 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4772 | ATR%: 4.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7102 | r1h: 0.458% · r4h: 1.225% · r1d: 8.06% · r3d: 6.51% · ema21_slope: 0.2196% · dist_ema21: 1.706% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3617 | rs_1h: 0.243% · rs_4h: -2.070% · rs_1d: -3.82% · rs_3d: -6.92% · beta_24h: 0.567 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1888 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -51.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7324 | ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6496 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.542% · r1d: 2.49% · r3d: 3.03% · ema21_slope: 0.2315% · dist_ema21: 3.027% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3941 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.166% · rs_1d: -2.03% · rs_3d: -8.61% · beta_24h: 0.732 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2012 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -16.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8398 | ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.426% | 0.7R | -0.661% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.999% | 1.7R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.06 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.30 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | -0.41 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | -0.13 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | bull_medium | +4.49% | -0.17 | 20/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.378×ATR | p21 | +1.858×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.749×ATR | p59 | +1.42×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 1.584×ATR | p11 | +1.357×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.237×ATR | p3 | +0.677×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
71039.5
0.0106477
71796
0.475288
69182
0.036887
71734
0.510653
66057.5
0.0859924
71738
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2.2328
197
0.6927
0.5425
0.4386
0.2302
0.6092
0.6027
0.5105
0.4989
0.7755
0.2385
0.5483
0.6972
0.0994
0.0956
0.6667
-0.1957
1.151
0.8
0.2
1
12
1
0.5396
0.3736
4.9848
0.5
0.6027
1.845
1.151
0.8175
0.3311
0.32
-0.2302
0.4247
0.4546
0.8464
0.6972
-3.7772
8.6984
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:27 | 2.16220000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:37 | 2.16790000 | +0.264% |
| 3 | 08:46 | 2.16770000 | +0.254% |
| 4 | 08:55 | 2.16830000 | +0.282% |
| 5 | 09:05 | 2.16840000 | +0.287% |
| 6 | 09:13 | 2.16350000 | +0.06% |
| 7 | 09:22 | 2.15850000 | -0.171% |
| 8 | 09:30 | 2.15330000 | -0.412% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 06:55:00 | 2.1966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:30:00 | 2.1854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:10:00 | 2.2194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:35:00 | 2.198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 2.2288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:50:00 | 2.2092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:55:00 | 2.2027 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:25:00 | 2.2237 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:25:00 | 2.1602 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 2.1034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 2.1542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 2.1251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 2.2109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 2.1706 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:45:00 | 2.2041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:30:00 | 2.1814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:15:00 | 2.1706 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.9785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 2.111 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 2.1656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 2.1825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 2.2026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 22:00:00 | 2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 2.011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 2.2738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 2.2328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 2.1721 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1622 | 2.1493 | 2.188 | 2 | 1.7777 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1493 - 2.1622 = -0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1622 - 2.188 = -0.0258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0258 / -0.0129 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1341.5305 | 100 | 620.447 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0129 = -620.16
Taille de position USD = -620.16 x 2.1622 = -1340.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -620.16 avec un stoploss a 2.1493
Avec un position size USD de -1340.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -620.16 x -0.0129 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -620.16 x -0.0258 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6382 % | 106.97 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1622 | 2.1493 | 2.188 | 2 | 1.7777 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1493 - 2.1622 = -0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1622 - 2.188 = -0.0258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0258 / -0.0129 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.426% | 0.7R | -0.661% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.999% | 1.7R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.799% | 18.1R | -0.754% | 1.3R | 14.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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