Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7892.89 JUP at 0.186$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1885 (1.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1854 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7892.89 JUP at 0.186$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1885 (1.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1854 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.1864$
Qty 7892.8934 JUP
Size 1471.5511$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1885 (+1.13%)
TP $ 16.58$
SL 0.1854 (-0.54%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.1
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6833
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.481648 15m : 0.700921 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.5541% · dist_ema21: 1.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.14% · beta_24h: 0.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1028 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.713 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5435 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5353 | ATR%: 4.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8536 | r1h: 0.468% · r4h: 3.216% · r1d: 13.93% · r3d: 13.05% · ema21_slope: 0.3739% · dist_ema21: 4.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5313 | rs_1h: 0.253% · rs_4h: -0.079% · rs_1d: 2.05% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 0.641 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3657 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.084 · trend: 47.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9810 | ADX: 57.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.304% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6593 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.152% · r1d: 7.97% · r3d: 10.81% · ema21_slope: 0.3424% · dist_ema21: 6.831% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5063 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.776% · rs_1d: 3.44% · rs_3d: -0.83% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2364 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.321 · trend: 43.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8450 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 15.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.153% | 2.2R | -0.381% | 0.7R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.153% | 2.2R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.92 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high_confirmed | +10.74% | -0.22 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.52% | +0.22 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bull_medium | +3.70% | -0.15 | 20/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.762×ATR | p16 | +0.994×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.423×ATR | p19 | +3.08×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.821×ATR | p25 | +1.874×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.28×ATR | p60 | -0.416×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
71053.3
0.0105364
71802
0.481648
69241.6
0.0369766
71802
0.700921
66057.5
0.0859924
71738
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1
0.4007
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5.8157
0.6
1.8216
5.7266
3.8163
0.4655
0.1575
0.86
0.2609
0.644
0.6364
0.8603
0.8409
-1.6615
8.7795
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:34 | 0.18644000 | +0.021% |
| 2 | 08:43 | 0.18662000 | +0.118% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:35:00 | 0.18061 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:50:00 | 0.17993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:25:00 | 0.18535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:45:00 | 0.18402 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 0.19124 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:55:00 | 0.18817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:50:00 | 0.19029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:15:00 | 0.18855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:35:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:30:00 | 0.18644 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.17702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.17834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.17904 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 0.19124 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:45:00 | 0.18817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:30:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:30:00 | 0.18644 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.17055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.16914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.16695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 0.16851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 0.16298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 0.16585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.16819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.1659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 0.19151 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1864 | 0.1854 | 0.1885 | 2.1 | 0.2606 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1854 - 0.1864 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1864 - 0.1885 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1471.5511 | 100 | 7892.8934 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.1864 = -1491.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.1854
Avec un position size USD de -1491.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0021 = 16.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 16.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.58 $ | 1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3809 % | 71 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1864 | 0.1854 | 0.1885 | 2.1 | 0.2606 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1854 - 0.1864 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1864 - 0.1885 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.153% | 2.2R | -0.381% | 0.7R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.153% | 2.2R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.562% | 6.6R | -0.472% | 0.9R | 7.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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