Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 2207.58 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1979 (4.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1853 (1.91 %)
Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 2207.58 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1979 (4.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1853 (1.91 %)
Position
Entry 0.1889$
Qty 2207.5786 JUP
Size 416.9674$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1979 (+4.76%)
TP $ 19.87$
SL 0.1853 (-1.91%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6747
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.5541% · dist_ema21: 1.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.14% · beta_24h: 0.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1028 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.713 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5435 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5353 | ATR%: 4.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6996 | r1h: -0.234% · r4h: -1.473% · r1d: 9.46% · r3d: 11.05% · ema21_slope: 0.3458% · dist_ema21: 2.229% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4845 | rs_1h: -0.050% · rs_4h: -0.826% · rs_1d: 0.92% · rs_3d: -0.92% · beta_24h: 0.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2222 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.484 · trend: -9.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9673 | ADX: 56.1 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6593 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.152% · r1d: 7.97% · r3d: 10.81% · ema21_slope: 0.3424% · dist_ema21: 6.831% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5063 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.776% · rs_1d: 3.44% · rs_3d: -0.83% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2364 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.321 · trend: 43.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8450 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 15.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.154% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.154% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.700% | 1.4R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.92 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high_confirmed | +10.92% | -0.20 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.83% | +0.13 | 20/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.72 | bull_medium | +2.70% | -0.02 | 20/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.762×ATR | p16 | +0.994×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.544×ATR | p29 | +3.158×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.661×ATR | p14 | +1.516×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.038×ATR | p0 | -0.199×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.18552
147
0.796
0.6853
0.4243
0.2676
0.5525
0.4548
0.6278
0.73
0.7546
0.7913
0.7481
0.9187
0.2089
0.1755
1
1.9523
4.3087
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.4648
0.6118
5.2881
0.6
0.4548
2.405
4.3087
0.5858
0.1741
0.74
0.221
0.5792
0.6413
0.8821
0.9187
-0.8829
9.9748
1
0
1
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0.18552
0.19151
0.19151
0.18552
0.19151
0.18817
0.18984
0.9916
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1889 | 0.1853 | 0.1979 | 2.5 | 0.2655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1853 - 0.1889 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1889 - 0.1979 = -0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.009 / -0.0036 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 416.9674 | 100 | 2207.5786 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0036 = -2222.22
Taille de position USD = -2222.22 x 0.1889 = -419.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.1853
Avec un position size USD de -419.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.009 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.76 % | 19.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.91 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.87 $ | 4.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9741 % | 51.11 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1889 | 0.1853 | 0.1979 | 2.5 | 0.2655 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1853 - 0.1889 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1889 - 0.1979 = -0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.009 / -0.0036 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.154% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.154% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.192% | 1.2R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.700% | 1.4R | -0.974% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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