Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 1.98 TAO at 209.43$ per unit. Take profit: 219.5529 (4.83 %) & Stop Loss: 205.3808 (1.93 %)
Long Trade on TAO (BosPullback)
With 1.98 TAO at 209.43$ per unit. Take profit: 219.5529 (4.83 %) & Stop Loss: 205.3808 (1.93 %)
Position
Entry 209.43$
Qty 1.9757 TAO
Size 413.7727$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 219.5529 (+4.83%)
TP $ 20$
SL 205.3808 (-1.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4346
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5243 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: 4.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0824% · dist_ema21: 3.719% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4129 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.21% · rs_3d: -2.95% · beta_24h: 0.837 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1197 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -1.869 · trend: -16.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4086 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6434 | ATR%: 4.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5994 | r1h: -0.139% · r4h: -2.093% · r1d: 6.43% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.2305% · dist_ema21: 0.972% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3922 | rs_1h: 0.045% · rs_4h: -1.445% · rs_1d: -2.11% · rs_3d: -6.38% · beta_24h: 0.596 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3165 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: 0.032 · trend: 16.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8331 | ADX: 47.2 (trend) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.423% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6270 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.814% · r1d: 6.91% · r3d: 6.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1578% · dist_ema21: 4.980% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4234 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.439% · rs_1d: 2.38% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 0.542 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3265 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.765 · trend: 83.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8355 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 19.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.882% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.366% | 0.7R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.791% | 0.9R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 19.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.621% | 1.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 28.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.257% | 1.7R | -0.301% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.598% | 2.4R | -0.301% | 0.2R | 15.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.46 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +10.92% | -0.58 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.50 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.83% | -0.00 | 20/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.67 | bull_medium | +2.70% | -0.03 | 20/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 2.358×ATR | p0 | +1.227×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.796×ATR | p87 | +2.094×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.128×ATR | p39 | +0.642×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.301×ATR | p0 | -0.757×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
205.71
147
0.7245
0.5956
0.3661
0.2533
0.4583
0.7442
0.3617
0.5563
0.6605
0.916
0.7108
0.8288
0.1268
0.1126
1
1.0434
2.5932
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.4933
0.507
3.936
0.6
0.7442
2.9292
2.5932
0.1969
0.224
0.86
0.396
0.6314
0.5883
0.9082
0.8288
-1.4007
6.7826
1
1
1
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205.71
214.03
214.03
205.71
208.03
202.85
205.44
0.7485
214.03
208.23
211.13
0.8932
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:13 | 209.43000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:38 | 210.98000000 | +0.74% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209.43 | 205.3808 | 219.5529 | 2.5 | 193.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 205.3808 - 209.43 = -4.0492
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 209.43 - 219.5529 = -10.1229
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.1229 / -4.0492 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 413.7727 | 100 | 1.9757 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.0492 = -1.98
Taille de position USD = -1.98 x 209.43 = -414.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.98 avec un stoploss a 205.3808
Avec un position size USD de -414.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.98 x -4.0492 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.98 x -10.1229 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.83 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 4.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3008 % | 15.56 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209.43 | 205.3808 | 219.5529 | 2.5 | 193.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 205.3808 - 209.43 = -4.0492
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 209.43 - 219.5529 = -10.1229
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.1229 / -4.0492 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.366% | 0.7R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.791% | 0.9R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 19.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.621% | 1.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 28.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.257% | 1.7R | -0.301% | 0.2R | 10.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.598% | 2.4R | -0.301% | 0.2R | 15.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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