Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 1.67 BCH at 309.93$ per unit. Take profit: 297.9569 (3.86 %) & Stop Loss: 314.7192 (1.55 %)
Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 1.67 BCH at 309.93$ per unit. Take profit: 297.9569 (3.86 %) & Stop Loss: 314.7192 (1.55 %)
Position
Entry 309.93$
Qty 1.6704 BCH
Size 517.7097$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 297.9569 (+3.86%)
TP $ 20$
SL 314.7192 (-1.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3325
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 9.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 47.1% |
| 1h | 94.3% |
| 4h | 95.7% |
| 24h | 41.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 84.3% | +2.29% |
| 24h | 38.6% | -0.71% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6773 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.73% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: 2.0655% · dist_ema21: 8.150% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5586 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.57% · rs_3d: -8.86% · beta_24h: 1.235 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4304 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: 51.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8525 | ADX: 42.3 (trend) · Chop: 19.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3737 | r1h: 0.360% · r4h: 0.633% · r1d: -0.96% · r3d: -8.70% · ema21_slope: -0.1588% · dist_ema21: -0.886% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4240 | rs_1h: 0.083% · rs_4h: 0.192% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -8.11% · beta_24h: 1.618 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1588 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.618 · trend: -69.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6554 | ADX: 41.8 (trend) · Chop: 62.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.301% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4556 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.863% · r1d: -3.74% · r3d: -9.79% · ema21_slope: -0.2574% · dist_ema21: -5.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4679 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.354% · rs_1d: -3.43% · rs_3d: -8.75% · beta_24h: 3.025 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1995 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -59.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6743 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9307 | ATR%: 3.208% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.84 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.76 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.52% | -0.09 | 29/09 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.61 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.07 | 29/09 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166865 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
early 5b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.799 |
— — |
0.97 | below_value | -6.91 ATR | inside | #92612 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
168763 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
52%
|
late 10b -1.7ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.630 |
— — |
0.68 | below_value | -8.34 ATR | — | #93421 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor
169698 |
↓ down | bear_high |
57%
|
early 13b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.601 |
— — |
0.26 | below_value | -7.95 ATR | — | #93861 |
29/09 01:00
upd 29/09 02:12
|
|
15m
170047 |
↔ neutral | range_medium |
37%
|
late 5b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.516 |
— near -0.6ATR |
1.05 | below_value | -7.95 ATR | — | #93861 |
29/09 02:45
upd 29/09 03:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.538×ATR | p0 | +0.914×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.4×ATR | p84 | -1.737×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.869×ATR | p19 | -0.739×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.812×ATR | p73 | +2.009×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
302.54
144
0.2403
0.4776
0.366
0.2125
0.4917
1
0.4073
0.3489
0.254
0.1421
0.5484
0.1418
-0.1113
-0.1345
0
-0.0453
-2.1795
0.25
0.75
-1
5
1
0.575
0.3065
2.8041
0.65
1.5025
2.4786
-2.1795
0.3579
0.2937
0.2
-0.2668
0.4034
0.5263
0.9429
0.1418
-11.0431
1.825
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 01:00:00
[price] => 344.44
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 07:00:00
[price] => 330.44
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 11:00:00
[price] => 342.06
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 14:00:00
[price] => 327.76
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 23:00:00
[price] => 346.99
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 13:00:00
[price] => 332.48
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 18:00:00
[price] => 338.6
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
[price] => 332.31
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 21:00:00
[price] => 337.53
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
[price] => 330.65
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 08:00:00
[price] => 347.5
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
[price] => 327.66
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
[price] => 337.53
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
[price] => 307.79
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 05:00:00
[price] => 317.49
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 08:00:00
[price] => 305.75
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[price] => 315.72
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
[price] => 306.5
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 16:00:00
[price] => 314.38
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
[price] => 302.54
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 08:45:00
[price] => 305.75
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 09:15:00
[price] => 310.48
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 09:45:00
[price] => 306.37
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 12:45:00
[price] => 315.72
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 13:30:00
[price] => 311.59
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 13:45:00
[price] => 314.53
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:15:00
[price] => 306.5
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 16:15:00
[price] => 314.38
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
[price] => 307.9
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 17:15:00
[price] => 312.74
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 19:30:00
[price] => 305.73
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 21:00:00
[price] => 309.38
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
[price] => 306.54
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 23:00:00
[price] => 311.2
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:30:00
[price] => 302.54
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:45:00
[price] => 305.75
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 03:30:00
[price] => 306.96
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 04:00:00
[price] => 303.92
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 05:15:00
[price] => 307.12
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
[price] => 304
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
302.54
314.38
314.38
302.54
315.72
314.66
315.19
0.4995
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309.93 | 314.7192 | 297.9569 | 2.5 | 308.53 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 314.7192 - 309.93 = 4.7892
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 309.93 - 297.9569 = 11.9731
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.9731 / 4.7892 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 517.7097 | 100 | 1.6704 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.7892 = 1.67
Taille de position USD = 1.67 x 309.93 = 517.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.67 avec un stoploss a 314.7192
Avec un position size USD de 517.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.67 x 4.7892 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.67 x 11.9731 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.86 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309.93 | 314.7192 | 297.9569 | 2.5 | 308.53 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 314.7192 - 309.93 = 4.7892
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 309.93 - 297.9569 = 11.9731
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.9731 / 4.7892 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Aucun commentaire.